Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London highs around 22–24°C for August 6, aligning with the market's concentration on those outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 90%. This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology near the 23°C seasonal average, following a brief warm spell that delivered 29°C on August 4 before a cooling trend set in with highs dropping to 25°C on August 5. Persistent high pressure and moderate Atlantic airflow are limiting further warming or sharp drops, while ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty tied to cloud cover and wind patterns. New model runs and observational updates in the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
23°C 42%
22°C 28%
24°C 26%
25°C 6%
$15,963 वॉल्यूम
$15,963 वॉल्यूम
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
28%
23°C
42%
24°C
26%
25°C
6%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 42%
22°C 28%
24°C 26%
25°C 6%
$15,963 वॉल्यूम
$15,963 वॉल्यूम
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
28%
23°C
42%
24°C
26%
25°C
6%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London highs around 22–24°C for August 6, aligning with the market's concentration on those outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 90%. This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology near the 23°C seasonal average, following a brief warm spell that delivered 29°C on August 4 before a cooling trend set in with highs dropping to 25°C on August 5. Persistent high pressure and moderate Atlantic airflow are limiting further warming or sharp drops, while ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty tied to cloud cover and wind patterns. New model runs and observational updates in the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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