Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a cooler-than-normal day for Chicago on August 6, with a mid-level trough and associated moisture expected to increase cloud cover and trigger showers, limiting daytime heating. This setup favors a high temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s—below the 83.5 °F August 6 climatological normal—rather than the mid-80s or higher that would occur under clear, sunny conditions. Lake-breeze moderation and reduced insolation further cap peak readings, aligning with the market-implied concentration around 78–81 °F. Updated model runs through early August 5 continue to support this cooler, unsettled pattern, keeping probabilities tightly clustered in that narrow band while assigning only marginal odds to extremes above 82 °F or below 76 °F.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
6 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
78-79°F 39%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 23%
82-83°F 9%
नया
नया
6 अग, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
78-79°F 39%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 23%
82-83°F 9%
नया
नया
6 अग, 2026
73°F or below
$29 वॉल्यूम
1%
74-75°F
$511 वॉल्यूम
7%
76-77°F
$73 वॉल्यूम
23%
78-79°F
$179 वॉल्यूम
39%
80-81°F
$216 वॉल्यूम
27%
82-83°F
$195 वॉल्यूम
9%
84-85°F
$579 वॉल्यूम
1%
86-87°F
$73 वॉल्यूम
1%
88-89°F
$106 वॉल्यूम
<1%
90-91°F
$391 वॉल्यूम
<1%
92°F या उससे अधिक
$386 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a cooler-than-normal day for Chicago on August 6, with a mid-level trough and associated moisture expected to increase cloud cover and trigger showers, limiting daytime heating. This setup favors a high temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s—below the 83.5 °F August 6 climatological normal—rather than the mid-80s or higher that would occur under clear, sunny conditions. Lake-breeze moderation and reduced insolation further cap peak readings, aligning with the market-implied concentration around 78–81 °F. Updated model runs through early August 5 continue to support this cooler, unsettled pattern, keeping probabilities tightly clustered in that narrow band while assigning only marginal odds to extremes above 82 °F or below 76 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,737समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a cooler-than-normal day for Chicago on August 6, with a mid-level trough and associated moisture expected to increase cloud cover and trigger showers, limiting daytime heating. This setup favors a high temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s—below the 83.5 °F August 6 climatological normal—rather than the mid-80s or higher that would occur under clear, sunny conditions. Lake-breeze moderation and reduced insolation further cap peak readings, aligning with the market-implied concentration around 78–81 °F. Updated model runs through early August 5 continue to support this cooler, unsettled pattern, keeping probabilities tightly clustered in that narrow band while assigning only marginal odds to extremes above 82 °F or below 76 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,737समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a cooler-than-normal day for Chicago on August 6, with a mid-level trough and associated moisture expected to increase cloud cover and trigger showers, limiting daytime heating. This setup favors a high temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s—below the 83.5 °F August 6 climatological normal—rather than the mid-80s or higher that would occur under clear, sunny conditions. Lake-breeze moderation and reduced insolation further cap peak readings, aligning with the market-implied concentration around 78–81 °F. Updated model runs through early August 5 continue to support this cooler, unsettled pattern, keeping probabilities tightly clustered in that narrow band while assigning only marginal odds to extremes above 82 °F or below 76 °F.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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