Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Great Lakes region, with Lake Michigan's lake breeze expected to cap afternoon highs in Chicago near 77-80°F on August 5. This places the market's leading bins (76-77°F at 33.5% and 78-79°F at 29.5%) in alignment with consensus projections that are 4-7°F below the 1991-2020 climatological average of 84°F. Key differentiating factors include persistent northerly flow limiting daytime mixing and potential for increased cloud cover or light precipitation that further suppresses maximum temperatures. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs through early August 4 will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
76-77°F 34%
78-79°F 28%
75°F या उससे कम 18%
80-81°F 18%
75°F या उससे कम
18%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F या अधिक
<1%
76-77°F 34%
78-79°F 28%
75°F या उससे कम 18%
80-81°F 18%
75°F या उससे कम
18%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Great Lakes region, with Lake Michigan's lake breeze expected to cap afternoon highs in Chicago near 77-80°F on August 5. This places the market's leading bins (76-77°F at 33.5% and 78-79°F at 29.5%) in alignment with consensus projections that are 4-7°F below the 1991-2020 climatological average of 84°F. Key differentiating factors include persistent northerly flow limiting daytime mixing and potential for increased cloud cover or light precipitation that further suppresses maximum temperatures. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs through early August 4 will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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