Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on August 5 centers on a high near 88–89 °F under partly sunny skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with the subtropical summer regime of Atlantic sea-breeze convergence and typical convective capping. This range sits just below the August normal maximum of 91 °F while remaining well above cooler climatological outcomes, anchoring the 52.5 % market share for 88–89 °F. Recent hot July conditions have kept baseline warmth elevated but no anomalous ridge or suppressed convection has emerged to push readings into the low 90s, leaving the 90–91 °F bin at 25 % and cooler bins combined near 23 %. Updated model runs through the afternoon will determine whether early storms trim the peak or allow brief clearing to test the upper end of the favored interval.