Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show a persistent subtropical ridge over Anatolia, promoting clear skies, strong diurnal heating, and light northerly flow that favors afternoon maxima of 32–33 °C in Ankara on August 4. These conditions align with climatological August norms for the region while limiting moisture advection that could suppress temperatures. Minor spread between leading outcomes stems from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and potential thin high-cloud development, which could trim peak readings by 1 °C. Updated model runs and local METAR trends through August 3 will refine the precise threshold, with traders closely tracking any shift in the 500 hPa height field or surface pressure gradient.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को अंकारा में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 38%
32°C 35%
34°C 15%
31°C 11%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
11%
32°C
35%
33°C
38%
34°C
15%
35°C
4%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
32°C 35%
34°C 15%
31°C 11%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
11%
32°C
35%
33°C
38%
34°C
15%
35°C
4%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show a persistent subtropical ridge over Anatolia, promoting clear skies, strong diurnal heating, and light northerly flow that favors afternoon maxima of 32–33 °C in Ankara on August 4. These conditions align with climatological August norms for the region while limiting moisture advection that could suppress temperatures. Minor spread between leading outcomes stems from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and potential thin high-cloud development, which could trim peak readings by 1 °C. Updated model runs and local METAR trends through August 3 will refine the precise threshold, with traders closely tracking any shift in the 500 hPa height field or surface pressure gradient.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न