Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance projecting a 34°C high for Tokyo on August 6 anchors trader views, yet the market prices 32°C highest at 38.5% and 33°C at 30% due to ensemble model spreads and expected afternoon cloud cover moderating peak readings. Urban heat-island effects and typical August humidity around 75-80% amplify perceived warmth, while steering patterns from the Pacific high and possible weak frontal influences introduce 1-2°C uncertainty. Historical August normals near 31.8°C and recent cooler observations further support the clustered 32-33°C probabilities ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
6 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 39%
33°C 30%
31°C 16%
34°C 9%
नया
नया
6 अग, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
16%
32°C
39%
33°C
30%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
33°C 30%
31°C 16%
34°C 9%
नया
नया
6 अग, 2026
26°C or below
$243 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$476 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$542 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C
$380 वॉल्यूम
2%
30°C
$279 वॉल्यूम
3%
31°C
$1,006 वॉल्यूम
16%
32°C
$824 वॉल्यूम
39%
33°C
$716 वॉल्यूम
30%
34°C
$1,020 वॉल्यूम
9%
35°C
$423 वॉल्यूम
3%
36°C or higher
$759 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance projecting a 34°C high for Tokyo on August 6 anchors trader views, yet the market prices 32°C highest at 38.5% and 33°C at 30% due to ensemble model spreads and expected afternoon cloud cover moderating peak readings. Urban heat-island effects and typical August humidity around 75-80% amplify perceived warmth, while steering patterns from the Pacific high and possible weak frontal influences introduce 1-2°C uncertainty. Historical August normals near 31.8°C and recent cooler observations further support the clustered 32-33°C probabilities ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,662समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance projecting a 34°C high for Tokyo on August 6 anchors trader views, yet the market prices 32°C highest at 38.5% and 33°C at 30% due to ensemble model spreads and expected afternoon cloud cover moderating peak readings. Urban heat-island effects and typical August humidity around 75-80% amplify perceived warmth, while steering patterns from the Pacific high and possible weak frontal influences introduce 1-2°C uncertainty. Historical August normals near 31.8°C and recent cooler observations further support the clustered 32-33°C probabilities ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$6,662समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance projecting a 34°C high for Tokyo on August 6 anchors trader views, yet the market prices 32°C highest at 38.5% and 33°C at 30% due to ensemble model spreads and expected afternoon cloud cover moderating peak readings. Urban heat-island effects and typical August humidity around 75-80% amplify perceived warmth, while steering patterns from the Pacific high and possible weak frontal influences introduce 1-2°C uncertainty. Historical August normals near 31.8°C and recent cooler observations further support the clustered 32-33°C probabilities ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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