Persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal seasonal temperatures across Japan are positioning overnight lows near 26–27°C as the most likely minimum for Tokyo on August 8, aligning with Japan Meteorological Agency outlooks and ensemble forecasts showing limited nocturnal cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. Recent model consensus indicates daytime peaks around 35°C followed by slow radiational cooling, keeping the daily minimum above the long-term August average of roughly 24–25°C. Traders have concentrated implied probability on these two outcomes because current steering patterns and humidity levels reduce the chance of sharper drops, while any late-day cloud cover or weak frontal influence could nudge the low slightly lower. Upcoming JMA updates and real-time observations will determine final resolution against the market thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया8 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
26°C 14%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$8,031 वॉल्यूम
$8,031 वॉल्यूम
21°C या उससे कम
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
26%
27°C
61%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
26°C 14%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$8,031 वॉल्यूम
$8,031 वॉल्यूम
21°C या उससे कम
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
26%
27°C
61%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal seasonal temperatures across Japan are positioning overnight lows near 26–27°C as the most likely minimum for Tokyo on August 8, aligning with Japan Meteorological Agency outlooks and ensemble forecasts showing limited nocturnal cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. Recent model consensus indicates daytime peaks around 35°C followed by slow radiational cooling, keeping the daily minimum above the long-term August average of roughly 24–25°C. Traders have concentrated implied probability on these two outcomes because current steering patterns and humidity levels reduce the chance of sharper drops, while any late-day cloud cover or weak frontal influence could nudge the low slightly lower. Upcoming JMA updates and real-time observations will determine final resolution against the market thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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