Forecast uncertainty for Tokyo’s August 14 maximum centers on expected cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating and keep official readings clustered near 27–29 °C. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a narrow range around these values, with precipitation probabilities of 30–40 % during peak heating hours reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 30 °C or higher. Seasonal context of above-normal Pacific high pressure supports overall warmth, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors overcast conditions that compress outcomes. Traders therefore weight the 27–29 °C band most heavily, awaiting updated model runs and JMA bulletins that will clarify whether any breaks in cloud cover materialize before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 28%
28°C 23%
27°C 21%
30°C 10%
नया
नया
14 अग, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
21%
28°C
23%
29°C
28%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 28%
28°C 23%
27°C 21%
30°C 10%
नया
नया
14 अग, 2026
22°C or below
$374 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$362 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$22 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$285 वॉल्यूम
4%
26°C
$34 वॉल्यूम
7%
27°C
$82 वॉल्यूम
21%
28°C
$207 वॉल्यूम
23%
29°C
$89 वॉल्यूम
28%
30°C
$30 वॉल्यूम
10%
31°C
$17 वॉल्यूम
4%
32°C or higher
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Tokyo’s August 14 maximum centers on expected cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating and keep official readings clustered near 27–29 °C. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a narrow range around these values, with precipitation probabilities of 30–40 % during peak heating hours reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 30 °C or higher. Seasonal context of above-normal Pacific high pressure supports overall warmth, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors overcast conditions that compress outcomes. Traders therefore weight the 27–29 °C band most heavily, awaiting updated model runs and JMA bulletins that will clarify whether any breaks in cloud cover materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,511समाप्ति तिथि
14 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Tokyo’s August 14 maximum centers on expected cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating and keep official readings clustered near 27–29 °C. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a narrow range around these values, with precipitation probabilities of 30–40 % during peak heating hours reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 30 °C or higher. Seasonal context of above-normal Pacific high pressure supports overall warmth, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors overcast conditions that compress outcomes. Traders therefore weight the 27–29 °C band most heavily, awaiting updated model runs and JMA bulletins that will clarify whether any breaks in cloud cover materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,511समाप्ति तिथि
14 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for Tokyo’s August 14 maximum centers on expected cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating and keep official readings clustered near 27–29 °C. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a narrow range around these values, with precipitation probabilities of 30–40 % during peak heating hours reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 30 °C or higher. Seasonal context of above-normal Pacific high pressure supports overall warmth, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors overcast conditions that compress outcomes. Traders therefore weight the 27–29 °C band most heavily, awaiting updated model runs and JMA bulletins that will clarify whether any breaks in cloud cover materialize before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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