San Francisco's coastal location and frequent marine layer typically moderate August highs to a climatological mean near 69–70°F, with the National Weather Service and model guidance for August 11 pointing to onshore flow and partial clearing that favors a peak in the 70–71°F range. This aligns with the market-implied 41% probability on 70–71°F and the combined 88% on 68–73°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions rather than any anomalous warming. Recent observations show no strong offshore winds or subsidence that would push readings higher, while ensemble forecasts maintain low odds for extremes above 75°F or below 68°F. Updated NWS briefings and model runs through the evening of August 10 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया11 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
11 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
70-71°F 42%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 23%
74-75°F 7%
नया
$15,010 वॉल्यूम
नया
$15,010 वॉल्यूम
11 अग, 2026
65°F या उससे कम
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
42%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
70-71°F 42%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 23%
74-75°F 7%
नया
$15,010 वॉल्यूम
नया
$15,010 वॉल्यूम
11 अग, 2026
65°F या उससे कम
$2,196 वॉल्यूम
1%
66-67°F
$2,123 वॉल्यूम
3%
68-69°F
$1,880 वॉल्यूम
25%
70-71°F
$1,875 वॉल्यूम
42%
72-73°F
$1,312 वॉल्यूम
23%
74-75°F
$983 वॉल्यूम
7%
76-77°F
$646 वॉल्यूम
1%
78-79°F
$578 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80-81°F
$2,407 वॉल्यूम
<1%
82-83°F
$545 वॉल्यूम
<1%
84°F या उससे अधिक
$466 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.San Francisco's coastal location and frequent marine layer typically moderate August highs to a climatological mean near 69–70°F, with the National Weather Service and model guidance for August 11 pointing to onshore flow and partial clearing that favors a peak in the 70–71°F range. This aligns with the market-implied 41% probability on 70–71°F and the combined 88% on 68–73°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions rather than any anomalous warming. Recent observations show no strong offshore winds or subsidence that would push readings higher, while ensemble forecasts maintain low odds for extremes above 75°F or below 68°F. Updated NWS briefings and model runs through the evening of August 10 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,010समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.San Francisco's coastal location and frequent marine layer typically moderate August highs to a climatological mean near 69–70°F, with the National Weather Service and model guidance for August 11 pointing to onshore flow and partial clearing that favors a peak in the 70–71°F range. This aligns with the market-implied 41% probability on 70–71°F and the combined 88% on 68–73°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions rather than any anomalous warming. Recent observations show no strong offshore winds or subsidence that would push readings higher, while ensemble forecasts maintain low odds for extremes above 75°F or below 68°F. Updated NWS briefings and model runs through the evening of August 10 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$15,010समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETSan Francisco's coastal location and frequent marine layer typically moderate August highs to a climatological mean near 69–70°F, with the National Weather Service and model guidance for August 11 pointing to onshore flow and partial clearing that favors a peak in the 70–71°F range. This aligns with the market-implied 41% probability on 70–71°F and the combined 88% on 68–73°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions rather than any anomalous warming. Recent observations show no strong offshore winds or subsidence that would push readings higher, while ensemble forecasts maintain low odds for extremes above 75°F or below 68°F. Updated NWS briefings and model runs through the evening of August 10 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न