**Forecast consensus from MetService and international ensembles positions a 14°C high as the most likely outcome for Wellington on August 12, driving the 53% market-implied probability.** Mid-August climatology features average daily maxima near 12°C under typical westerly or southerly flows, with limited solar heating and frequent cloud cover or showers suppressing diurnal warming. Recent model runs indicate a stable pressure pattern and light advection supporting modest daytime recovery to around 14°C, consistent with near-average seasonal guidance from NIWA. The secondary 15°C outcome at 24.5% reflects potential for slightly clearer skies or northerly influences, while lower probabilities for 13°C or below align with the low risk of stronger cold outbreaks this close to resolution. Short-range updates remain the key variable for any repricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
12 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14°C 52%
15°C 24%
13°C 21%
16°C 4%
नया
$15,189 वॉल्यूम
नया
$15,189 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
9°C या उससे कम
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
21%
14°C
52%
15°C
24%
16°C
4%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
14°C 52%
15°C 24%
13°C 21%
16°C 4%
नया
$15,189 वॉल्यूम
नया
$15,189 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
9°C या उससे कम
$786 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$1,271 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$1,096 वॉल्यूम
1%
12°C
$1,050 वॉल्यूम
3%
13°C
$2,966 वॉल्यूम
21%
14°C
$2,159 वॉल्यूम
52%
15°C
$2,636 वॉल्यूम
24%
16°C
$883 वॉल्यूम
4%
17°C
$1,024 वॉल्यूम
1%
18°C
$658 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C या उससे अधिक
$659 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from MetService and international ensembles positions a 14°C high as the most likely outcome for Wellington on August 12, driving the 53% market-implied probability.** Mid-August climatology features average daily maxima near 12°C under typical westerly or southerly flows, with limited solar heating and frequent cloud cover or showers suppressing diurnal warming. Recent model runs indicate a stable pressure pattern and light advection supporting modest daytime recovery to around 14°C, consistent with near-average seasonal guidance from NIWA. The secondary 15°C outcome at 24.5% reflects potential for slightly clearer skies or northerly influences, while lower probabilities for 13°C or below align with the low risk of stronger cold outbreaks this close to resolution. Short-range updates remain the key variable for any repricing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,189समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from MetService and international ensembles positions a 14°C high as the most likely outcome for Wellington on August 12, driving the 53% market-implied probability.** Mid-August climatology features average daily maxima near 12°C under typical westerly or southerly flows, with limited solar heating and frequent cloud cover or showers suppressing diurnal warming. Recent model runs indicate a stable pressure pattern and light advection supporting modest daytime recovery to around 14°C, consistent with near-average seasonal guidance from NIWA. The secondary 15°C outcome at 24.5% reflects potential for slightly clearer skies or northerly influences, while lower probabilities for 13°C or below align with the low risk of stronger cold outbreaks this close to resolution. Short-range updates remain the key variable for any repricing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$15,189समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from MetService and international ensembles positions a 14°C high as the most likely outcome for Wellington on August 12, driving the 53% market-implied probability.** Mid-August climatology features average daily maxima near 12°C under typical westerly or southerly flows, with limited solar heating and frequent cloud cover or showers suppressing diurnal warming. Recent model runs indicate a stable pressure pattern and light advection supporting modest daytime recovery to around 14°C, consistent with near-average seasonal guidance from NIWA. The secondary 15°C outcome at 24.5% reflects potential for slightly clearer skies or northerly influences, while lower probabilities for 13°C or below align with the low risk of stronger cold outbreaks this close to resolution. Short-range updates remain the key variable for any repricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न