Recent heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover across eastern China have moderated daytime heating in Shanghai, keeping recent highs near 28–30°C and positioning 29°C and 30°C as the market’s closest outcomes at 38.5% and 35.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from regional models indicate light rain or thundershowers possible on August 12, which would limit solar radiation and cap maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of 30–31°C while high humidity sustains muggy conditions. The narrow spread between 28°C and 30°C reflects uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and National Meteorological Center guidance in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 41%
30°C 34%
28°C 22%
31°C 6%
24°C या उससे कम
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
22%
29°C
41%
30°C
34%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
29°C 41%
30°C 34%
28°C 22%
31°C 6%
24°C या उससे कम
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
22%
29°C
41%
30°C
34%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover across eastern China have moderated daytime heating in Shanghai, keeping recent highs near 28–30°C and positioning 29°C and 30°C as the market’s closest outcomes at 38.5% and 35.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from regional models indicate light rain or thundershowers possible on August 12, which would limit solar radiation and cap maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of 30–31°C while high humidity sustains muggy conditions. The narrow spread between 28°C and 30°C reflects uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and National Meteorological Center guidance in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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