Latest forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daytime high of 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 16, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions, including elevated humidity near 80% and increasing thunderstorm activity since August 14, are expected to limit extreme heating through enhanced cloud cover and localized rainfall that reduces solar insolation. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, while recent observational trends and steering patterns favor moderation over the 35°C+ tail risks priced below 10%. Updated model runs ahead of the daily maximum will likely refine these trader-implied odds before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को शेन्ज़ेन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 अगस्त को शेन्ज़ेन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 43%
34°C 25%
32°C 18%
31°C 8%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
18%
33°C
43%
34°C
25%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 43%
34°C 25%
32°C 18%
31°C 8%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
27°C or below
$324 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$154 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$362 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$325 वॉल्यूम
2%
31°C
$266 वॉल्यूम
8%
32°C
$316 वॉल्यूम
18%
33°C
$793 वॉल्यूम
43%
34°C
$224 वॉल्यूम
25%
35°C
$709 वॉल्यूम
7%
36°C
$443 वॉल्यूम
3%
37°C or higher
$154 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daytime high of 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 16, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions, including elevated humidity near 80% and increasing thunderstorm activity since August 14, are expected to limit extreme heating through enhanced cloud cover and localized rainfall that reduces solar insolation. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, while recent observational trends and steering patterns favor moderation over the 35°C+ tail risks priced below 10%. Updated model runs ahead of the daily maximum will likely refine these trader-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,069समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daytime high of 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 16, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions, including elevated humidity near 80% and increasing thunderstorm activity since August 14, are expected to limit extreme heating through enhanced cloud cover and localized rainfall that reduces solar insolation. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, while recent observational trends and steering patterns favor moderation over the 35°C+ tail risks priced below 10%. Updated model runs ahead of the daily maximum will likely refine these trader-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$4,069समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daytime high of 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 16, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions, including elevated humidity near 80% and increasing thunderstorm activity since August 14, are expected to limit extreme heating through enhanced cloud cover and localized rainfall that reduces solar insolation. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, while recent observational trends and steering patterns favor moderation over the 35°C+ tail risks priced below 10%. Updated model runs ahead of the daily maximum will likely refine these trader-implied odds before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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