Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum near 32°C on August 15 amid light rain, 70–95% precipitation probability, and moderate southwesterly flow, keeping trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and moisture from a regional trough have limited daytime heating compared with recent clear-sky peaks above 35°C, while high humidity and urban heat-island effects support values in the low 30s. Early-morning readings near 27°C and model consensus on modest instability further anchor implied probabilities around the 31°C peak. Updated afternoon observations or any clearing trend could shift resolution within the narrow 30–32°C window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 40%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 9%
$101,612 वॉल्यूम
$101,612 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
29%
31°C
40%
32°C
20%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 9%
$101,612 वॉल्यूम
$101,612 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
29%
31°C
40%
32°C
20%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum near 32°C on August 15 amid light rain, 70–95% precipitation probability, and moderate southwesterly flow, keeping trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and moisture from a regional trough have limited daytime heating compared with recent clear-sky peaks above 35°C, while high humidity and urban heat-island effects support values in the low 30s. Early-morning readings near 27°C and model consensus on modest instability further anchor implied probabilities around the 31°C peak. Updated afternoon observations or any clearing trend could shift resolution within the narrow 30–32°C window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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