Recent forecast model runs for Madrid indicate a maximum temperature on August 15 most likely in the 33–35°C range, driven by persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain amid a broader summer heat pattern. Ensemble outputs from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF show modest spread due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects, with 34°C emerging as a frequent central tendency. Historical August maxima average near 32°C, but recent days exceeding 37°C have elevated trader focus on potential exceedance. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow resolution odds around the closely matched 33°C and 34°C outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
15 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
33°C 39%
34°C 31%
32°C 15%
35°C 12%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
15%
33°C
39%
34°C
32%
35°C
12%
36°C
6%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
2%
33°C 39%
34°C 31%
32°C 15%
35°C 12%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
30°C or below
$12 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
3%
32°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
15%
33°C
$43 वॉल्यूम
39%
34°C
$128 वॉल्यूम
32%
35°C
$76 वॉल्यूम
12%
36°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
6%
37°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
3%
38°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
2%
39°C
$12 वॉल्यूम
3%
40°C or higher
$12 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Madrid indicate a maximum temperature on August 15 most likely in the 33–35°C range, driven by persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain amid a broader summer heat pattern. Ensemble outputs from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF show modest spread due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects, with 34°C emerging as a frequent central tendency. Historical August maxima average near 32°C, but recent days exceeding 37°C have elevated trader focus on potential exceedance. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow resolution odds around the closely matched 33°C and 34°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$352समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Madrid indicate a maximum temperature on August 15 most likely in the 33–35°C range, driven by persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain amid a broader summer heat pattern. Ensemble outputs from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF show modest spread due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects, with 34°C emerging as a frequent central tendency. Historical August maxima average near 32°C, but recent days exceeding 37°C have elevated trader focus on potential exceedance. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow resolution odds around the closely matched 33°C and 34°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$352समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Madrid indicate a maximum temperature on August 15 most likely in the 33–35°C range, driven by persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain amid a broader summer heat pattern. Ensemble outputs from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF show modest spread due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects, with 34°C emerging as a frequent central tendency. Historical August maxima average near 32°C, but recent days exceeding 37°C have elevated trader focus on potential exceedance. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow resolution odds around the closely matched 33°C and 34°C outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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