Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon has kept Metro Manila under cloudy, rainy conditions, limiting daytime heating and anchoring trader expectations around 30–32°C for Manila’s August 15 maximum. PAGASA’s latest extended outlook shows a 25–30°C or 26–33°C range with 90% rain probability, while broader August climatology centers on 30–31°C highs amid high humidity. Recent heavy rainfall episodes further suppress solar insolation, reducing the likelihood of 34°C+ spikes. With resolution only two days away, the closely matched 30°C and 31°C shares reflect model consensus on modest diurnal warming under continued monsoon influence rather than any single outlier forecast.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 24%
30°C 22%
32°C 19%
29°C 11%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
22%
31°C
24%
32°C
19%
33°C
11%
34°C
1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
1%
31°C 24%
30°C 22%
32°C 19%
29°C 11%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
$44 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$44 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$22 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$8 वॉल्यूम
5%
29°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
31°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
24%
32°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
33°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
34°C
$22 वॉल्यूम
1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
$32 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon has kept Metro Manila under cloudy, rainy conditions, limiting daytime heating and anchoring trader expectations around 30–32°C for Manila’s August 15 maximum. PAGASA’s latest extended outlook shows a 25–30°C or 26–33°C range with 90% rain probability, while broader August climatology centers on 30–31°C highs amid high humidity. Recent heavy rainfall episodes further suppress solar insolation, reducing the likelihood of 34°C+ spikes. With resolution only two days away, the closely matched 30°C and 31°C shares reflect model consensus on modest diurnal warming under continued monsoon influence rather than any single outlier forecast.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$171समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon has kept Metro Manila under cloudy, rainy conditions, limiting daytime heating and anchoring trader expectations around 30–32°C for Manila’s August 15 maximum. PAGASA’s latest extended outlook shows a 25–30°C or 26–33°C range with 90% rain probability, while broader August climatology centers on 30–31°C highs amid high humidity. Recent heavy rainfall episodes further suppress solar insolation, reducing the likelihood of 34°C+ spikes. With resolution only two days away, the closely matched 30°C and 31°C shares reflect model consensus on modest diurnal warming under continued monsoon influence rather than any single outlier forecast.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$171समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon has kept Metro Manila under cloudy, rainy conditions, limiting daytime heating and anchoring trader expectations around 30–32°C for Manila’s August 15 maximum. PAGASA’s latest extended outlook shows a 25–30°C or 26–33°C range with 90% rain probability, while broader August climatology centers on 30–31°C highs amid high humidity. Recent heavy rainfall episodes further suppress solar insolation, reducing the likelihood of 34°C+ spikes. With resolution only two days away, the closely matched 30°C and 31°C shares reflect model consensus on modest diurnal warming under continued monsoon influence rather than any single outlier forecast.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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