Recent forecasts from Meteo France and major models indicate a Paris overnight low near 19–21°C for August 15, driven by moderate northwesterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This places the outcome comfortably within the 22°C-or-below bin, aligning with the 73.5% market-implied probability and typical mid-August climatology (historical average lows 15–18°C). Recent European heat-wave relief after July has kept surface temperatures from building extreme residual heat, while ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 23°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before the market resolves.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
15 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
22°C या उससे कम 74%
23°C 20%
24°C 2.0%
25°C <1%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
22°C या उससे कम
74%
23°C
20%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
22°C या उससे कम 74%
23°C 20%
24°C 2.0%
25°C <1%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
22°C या उससे कम
$2,683 वॉल्यूम
74%
23°C
$1,821 वॉल्यूम
20%
24°C
$572 वॉल्यूम
2%
25°C
$457 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C
$305 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$376 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$326 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$321 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$321 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$426 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
$377 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Meteo France and major models indicate a Paris overnight low near 19–21°C for August 15, driven by moderate northwesterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This places the outcome comfortably within the 22°C-or-below bin, aligning with the 73.5% market-implied probability and typical mid-August climatology (historical average lows 15–18°C). Recent European heat-wave relief after July has kept surface temperatures from building extreme residual heat, while ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 23°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,985समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Meteo France and major models indicate a Paris overnight low near 19–21°C for August 15, driven by moderate northwesterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This places the outcome comfortably within the 22°C-or-below bin, aligning with the 73.5% market-implied probability and typical mid-August climatology (historical average lows 15–18°C). Recent European heat-wave relief after July has kept surface temperatures from building extreme residual heat, while ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 23°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$7,985समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETRecent forecasts from Meteo France and major models indicate a Paris overnight low near 19–21°C for August 15, driven by moderate northwesterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This places the outcome comfortably within the 22°C-or-below bin, aligning with the 73.5% market-implied probability and typical mid-August climatology (historical average lows 15–18°C). Recent European heat-wave relief after July has kept surface temperatures from building extreme residual heat, while ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 23°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before the market resolves.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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