Current forecasts from models and agencies such as NIWA and local meteorological services point to a maximum temperature near 13–14 °C in Wellington on August 14, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Mid-winter conditions under a developing El Niño favor near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with typical daily highs around 12–14 °C and southerly or south-easterly winds that can limit daytime warming while bringing showers. Recent model runs show limited spread, though brisk winds and possible cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty around whether the peak reaches the upper end of that range. Historical August climatology and the absence of strong warm-air advection support trader consensus around these values ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14°C 46%
13°C 35%
15°C 13%
12°C 6%
नया
नया
14 अग, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
6%
13°C
35%
14°C
46%
15°C
13%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 46%
13°C 35%
15°C 13%
12°C 6%
नया
नया
14 अग, 2026
8°C or below
$331 वॉल्यूम
1%
9°C
$319 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$399 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
4%
12°C
$60 वॉल्यूम
6%
13°C
$92 वॉल्यूम
35%
14°C
$147 वॉल्यूम
46%
15°C
$14 वॉल्यूम
13%
16°C
$40 वॉल्यूम
2%
17°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
3%
18°C or higher
$12 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models and agencies such as NIWA and local meteorological services point to a maximum temperature near 13–14 °C in Wellington on August 14, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Mid-winter conditions under a developing El Niño favor near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with typical daily highs around 12–14 °C and southerly or south-easterly winds that can limit daytime warming while bringing showers. Recent model runs show limited spread, though brisk winds and possible cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty around whether the peak reaches the upper end of that range. Historical August climatology and the absence of strong warm-air advection support trader consensus around these values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,426समाप्ति तिथि
14 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models and agencies such as NIWA and local meteorological services point to a maximum temperature near 13–14 °C in Wellington on August 14, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Mid-winter conditions under a developing El Niño favor near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with typical daily highs around 12–14 °C and southerly or south-easterly winds that can limit daytime warming while bringing showers. Recent model runs show limited spread, though brisk winds and possible cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty around whether the peak reaches the upper end of that range. Historical August climatology and the absence of strong warm-air advection support trader consensus around these values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,426समाप्ति तिथि
14 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models and agencies such as NIWA and local meteorological services point to a maximum temperature near 13–14 °C in Wellington on August 14, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Mid-winter conditions under a developing El Niño favor near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with typical daily highs around 12–14 °C and southerly or south-easterly winds that can limit daytime warming while bringing showers. Recent model runs show limited spread, though brisk winds and possible cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty around whether the peak reaches the upper end of that range. Historical August climatology and the absence of strong warm-air advection support trader consensus around these values ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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