Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs point to a maximum temperature near 83–84°F in Central Park on August 15, supporting the market’s tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins. This reflects typical mid-August conditions under a weakening Bermuda High, with light northwest flow and minimal moisture advection keeping values close to the 1991–2020 normal of 83°F. Lingering uncertainty stems from possible slight warming from urban heat island effects or minor model spread on cloud cover and wind, while cooler Canadian air remains too far north to influence the region. Traders weigh these short-range variables against the broader seasonal signal of above-average temperatures for the month. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs on August 14 will likely refine the final resolution range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
15 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 35%
80-81°F 10%
86-87°F 10%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 35%
80-81°F 10%
86-87°F 10%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
75°F or below
$517 वॉल्यूम
<1%
76-77°F
$384 वॉल्यूम
1%
78-79°F
$328 वॉल्यूम
3%
80-81°F
$744 वॉल्यूम
10%
82-83°F
$943 वॉल्यूम
38%
84-85°F
$789 वॉल्यूम
35%
86-87°F
$415 वॉल्यूम
10%
88-89°F
$355 वॉल्यूम
3%
90-91°F
$346 वॉल्यूम
2%
92-93°F
$287 वॉल्यूम
<1%
94°F or higher
$481 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs point to a maximum temperature near 83–84°F in Central Park on August 15, supporting the market’s tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins. This reflects typical mid-August conditions under a weakening Bermuda High, with light northwest flow and minimal moisture advection keeping values close to the 1991–2020 normal of 83°F. Lingering uncertainty stems from possible slight warming from urban heat island effects or minor model spread on cloud cover and wind, while cooler Canadian air remains too far north to influence the region. Traders weigh these short-range variables against the broader seasonal signal of above-average temperatures for the month. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs on August 14 will likely refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,590समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs point to a maximum temperature near 83–84°F in Central Park on August 15, supporting the market’s tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins. This reflects typical mid-August conditions under a weakening Bermuda High, with light northwest flow and minimal moisture advection keeping values close to the 1991–2020 normal of 83°F. Lingering uncertainty stems from possible slight warming from urban heat island effects or minor model spread on cloud cover and wind, while cooler Canadian air remains too far north to influence the region. Traders weigh these short-range variables against the broader seasonal signal of above-average temperatures for the month. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs on August 14 will likely refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$5,590समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs point to a maximum temperature near 83–84°F in Central Park on August 15, supporting the market’s tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins. This reflects typical mid-August conditions under a weakening Bermuda High, with light northwest flow and minimal moisture advection keeping values close to the 1991–2020 normal of 83°F. Lingering uncertainty stems from possible slight warming from urban heat island effects or minor model spread on cloud cover and wind, while cooler Canadian air remains too far north to influence the region. Traders weigh these short-range variables against the broader seasonal signal of above-average temperatures for the month. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs on August 14 will likely refine the final resolution range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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