Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a high near 32–33°C on August 16 amid thundery showers and 70–90% rain probability, which explains the tight market split between those two outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from a southwesterly airstream limit daytime heating and surface insolation, while high humidity near 80% further moderates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Recent extremely hot conditions tied to Tropical Cyclone Dolphin have given way to this more typical August pattern of scattered convection, reducing the chance of exceeding 34°C. Traders weigh the latest multi-model consensus and timing of any rain bands against historical August maxima around 31–32°C when assessing whether isolated breaks in cloud could push the official reading to 33°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 37%
32°C 33%
31°C 15%
34°C 12%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
33%
33°C
37%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 37%
32°C 33%
31°C 15%
34°C 12%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
27°C or below
$877 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$150 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$170 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$330 वॉल्यूम
4%
31°C
$841 वॉल्यूम
15%
32°C
$418 वॉल्यूम
33%
33°C
$930 वॉल्यूम
37%
34°C
$409 वॉल्यूम
12%
35°C
$275 वॉल्यूम
3%
36°C
$583 वॉल्यूम
1%
37°C or higher
$159 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a high near 32–33°C on August 16 amid thundery showers and 70–90% rain probability, which explains the tight market split between those two outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from a southwesterly airstream limit daytime heating and surface insolation, while high humidity near 80% further moderates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Recent extremely hot conditions tied to Tropical Cyclone Dolphin have given way to this more typical August pattern of scattered convection, reducing the chance of exceeding 34°C. Traders weigh the latest multi-model consensus and timing of any rain bands against historical August maxima around 31–32°C when assessing whether isolated breaks in cloud could push the official reading to 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,142समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a high near 32–33°C on August 16 amid thundery showers and 70–90% rain probability, which explains the tight market split between those two outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from a southwesterly airstream limit daytime heating and surface insolation, while high humidity near 80% further moderates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Recent extremely hot conditions tied to Tropical Cyclone Dolphin have given way to this more typical August pattern of scattered convection, reducing the chance of exceeding 34°C. Traders weigh the latest multi-model consensus and timing of any rain bands against historical August maxima around 31–32°C when assessing whether isolated breaks in cloud could push the official reading to 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$5,142समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a high near 32–33°C on August 16 amid thundery showers and 70–90% rain probability, which explains the tight market split between those two outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from a southwesterly airstream limit daytime heating and surface insolation, while high humidity near 80% further moderates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Recent extremely hot conditions tied to Tropical Cyclone Dolphin have given way to this more typical August pattern of scattered convection, reducing the chance of exceeding 34°C. Traders weigh the latest multi-model consensus and timing of any rain bands against historical August maxima around 31–32°C when assessing whether isolated breaks in cloud could push the official reading to 33°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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