Tokyo's mid-August climatology, with typical daily highs of 29–32°C driven by the strengthened Pacific High and urban heat island effects, anchors trader positioning around 29–30°C for August 16. Short-range model guidance from sources like AccuWeather points to a high near 29°C amid elevated humidity and potential instability from nearby tropical systems during the Obon period, which could bring cloud cover or showers that moderate peak temperatures without a significant cool-down. Japan's ongoing above-normal summer temperatures, following the record 2025 season and with 2026 already seeing frequent days above 35°C elsewhere, support limited downside risk below 28°C while keeping probabilities for 32°C or higher modest absent a clear intensification signal. Updated JMA forecasts and any typhoon track revisions in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 42%
30°C 32%
28°C 13%
31°C 13%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
42%
30°C
32%
31°C
13%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
30°C 32%
28°C 13%
31°C 13%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
24°C or below
$201 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$87 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C
$23 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$495 वॉल्यूम
4%
28°C
$85 वॉल्यूम
13%
29°C
$497 वॉल्यूम
42%
30°C
$90 वॉल्यूम
32%
31°C
$120 वॉल्यूम
13%
32°C
$31 वॉल्यूम
5%
33°C
$93 वॉल्यूम
2%
34°C or higher
$27 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's mid-August climatology, with typical daily highs of 29–32°C driven by the strengthened Pacific High and urban heat island effects, anchors trader positioning around 29–30°C for August 16. Short-range model guidance from sources like AccuWeather points to a high near 29°C amid elevated humidity and potential instability from nearby tropical systems during the Obon period, which could bring cloud cover or showers that moderate peak temperatures without a significant cool-down. Japan's ongoing above-normal summer temperatures, following the record 2025 season and with 2026 already seeing frequent days above 35°C elsewhere, support limited downside risk below 28°C while keeping probabilities for 32°C or higher modest absent a clear intensification signal. Updated JMA forecasts and any typhoon track revisions in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,749समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's mid-August climatology, with typical daily highs of 29–32°C driven by the strengthened Pacific High and urban heat island effects, anchors trader positioning around 29–30°C for August 16. Short-range model guidance from sources like AccuWeather points to a high near 29°C amid elevated humidity and potential instability from nearby tropical systems during the Obon period, which could bring cloud cover or showers that moderate peak temperatures without a significant cool-down. Japan's ongoing above-normal summer temperatures, following the record 2025 season and with 2026 already seeing frequent days above 35°C elsewhere, support limited downside risk below 28°C while keeping probabilities for 32°C or higher modest absent a clear intensification signal. Updated JMA forecasts and any typhoon track revisions in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,749समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tokyo's mid-August climatology, with typical daily highs of 29–32°C driven by the strengthened Pacific High and urban heat island effects, anchors trader positioning around 29–30°C for August 16. Short-range model guidance from sources like AccuWeather points to a high near 29°C amid elevated humidity and potential instability from nearby tropical systems during the Obon period, which could bring cloud cover or showers that moderate peak temperatures without a significant cool-down. Japan's ongoing above-normal summer temperatures, following the record 2025 season and with 2026 already seeing frequent days above 35°C elsewhere, support limited downside risk below 28°C while keeping probabilities for 32°C or higher modest absent a clear intensification signal. Updated JMA forecasts and any typhoon track revisions in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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