Latest numerical weather prediction runs from major models point to a Beijing high temperature of 31–33°C on September 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, aligning with the market’s clustering around those outcomes. Stable high pressure and typical early-September climatology support modest daytime warming without strong cold-air advection or moisture. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the consensus guidance while watching for any late adjustments in the 12z or 00z model cycles that could tip probabilities between the closely matched 32°C and 33°C contracts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 35%
33°C 30%
31°C 13%
34°C 11%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
13%
32°C
22%
33°C
30%
34°C
11%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
33°C 30%
31°C 13%
34°C 11%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
13%
32°C
22%
33°C
30%
34°C
11%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from major models point to a Beijing high temperature of 31–33°C on September 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, aligning with the market’s clustering around those outcomes. Stable high pressure and typical early-September climatology support modest daytime warming without strong cold-air advection or moisture. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the consensus guidance while watching for any late adjustments in the 12z or 00z model cycles that could tip probabilities between the closely matched 32°C and 33°C contracts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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