Current numerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project a minimum near 19–21°C for Beijing on September 3 under clear skies, light southerly flow, and modest radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment balances this consensus against historical variance—September 3 averages 18.8°C with a record low of 13.3°C—while noting that small shifts in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat retention, or model spread on dew-point depression could differentiate outcomes between 17°C and 20°C. With probabilities clustered, markets reflect uncertainty in the precise nocturnal minimum rather than any major synoptic change expected in the next 48 hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर को बीजिंग में सबसे कम तापमान?
13°C or below 69%
23°C or higher 46%
17°C 31%
18°C 27%
13°C or below
69%
14°C
19%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
31%
18°C
27%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
46%
13°C or below 69%
23°C or higher 46%
17°C 31%
18°C 27%
13°C or below
69%
14°C
19%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
31%
18°C
27%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project a minimum near 19–21°C for Beijing on September 3 under clear skies, light southerly flow, and modest radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment balances this consensus against historical variance—September 3 averages 18.8°C with a record low of 13.3°C—while noting that small shifts in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat retention, or model spread on dew-point depression could differentiate outcomes between 17°C and 20°C. With probabilities clustered, markets reflect uncertainty in the precise nocturnal minimum rather than any major synoptic change expected in the next 48 hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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