Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, indicate Istanbul will see highs near seasonal August norms of 26–28°C on August 21 under stable high pressure and moderate northeasterly winds, positioning 27°C as the market leader at 48% implied probability. Limited marine influence and minimal cloud cover support afternoon peaks in this range, though slight model spread on sea-breeze timing introduces modest uncertainty for 26°C or 28°C outcomes. Historical data show typical late-August maxima around 28–29°C with low precipitation risk, and no significant synoptic shifts or heat anomalies have emerged in the past week to alter trader consensus ahead of final observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 47%
26°C 25%
28°C 25%
25°C 7%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
47%
28°C
25%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
26°C 25%
28°C 25%
25°C 7%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
47%
28°C
25%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, indicate Istanbul will see highs near seasonal August norms of 26–28°C on August 21 under stable high pressure and moderate northeasterly winds, positioning 27°C as the market leader at 48% implied probability. Limited marine influence and minimal cloud cover support afternoon peaks in this range, though slight model spread on sea-breeze timing introduces modest uncertainty for 26°C or 28°C outcomes. Historical data show typical late-August maxima around 28–29°C with low precipitation risk, and no significant synoptic shifts or heat anomalies have emerged in the past week to alter trader consensus ahead of final observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न