Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts positions 30–32°C as the most probable range for Shanghai’s daily maximum on August 19, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C and 30°C. Late-summer climatology supports this, with historical averages near 31–32°C amid typical East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings. Current guidance shows no strong typhoon influence or anomalous heat plume in the western Pacific, keeping extremes above 33°C or below 29°C at low implied probabilities. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
19 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 42%
30°C 29%
32°C 14%
29°C 11%
नया
नया
19 अग, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
11%
30°C
29%
31°C
42%
32°C
14%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
3%
31°C 42%
30°C 29%
32°C 14%
29°C 11%
नया
नया
19 अग, 2026
25°C or below
$5 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$130 वॉल्यूम
2%
29°C
$22 वॉल्यूम
11%
30°C
$35 वॉल्यूम
29%
31°C
$238 वॉल्यूम
42%
32°C
$78 वॉल्यूम
14%
33°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
6%
34°C
$8 वॉल्यूम
3%
35°C or higher
$5 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts positions 30–32°C as the most probable range for Shanghai’s daily maximum on August 19, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C and 30°C. Late-summer climatology supports this, with historical averages near 31–32°C amid typical East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings. Current guidance shows no strong typhoon influence or anomalous heat plume in the western Pacific, keeping extremes above 33°C or below 29°C at low implied probabilities. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$530समाप्ति तिथि
19 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts positions 30–32°C as the most probable range for Shanghai’s daily maximum on August 19, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C and 30°C. Late-summer climatology supports this, with historical averages near 31–32°C amid typical East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings. Current guidance shows no strong typhoon influence or anomalous heat plume in the western Pacific, keeping extremes above 33°C or below 29°C at low implied probabilities. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$530समाप्ति तिथि
19 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts positions 30–32°C as the most probable range for Shanghai’s daily maximum on August 19, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C and 30°C. Late-summer climatology supports this, with historical averages near 31–32°C amid typical East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings. Current guidance shows no strong typhoon influence or anomalous heat plume in the western Pacific, keeping extremes above 33°C or below 29°C at low implied probabilities. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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