Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national Italian services show Milan under a stable high-pressure ridge with southerly flow, favoring peak temperatures near 31–33 °C on August 17. Ensemble spreads produce closely matched market-implied odds because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover, and urban heat-island intensity can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs have held this narrow range steady, with limited synoptic change expected before the event. Traders therefore assign the highest probabilities to the central bins while discounting tails, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the inherent uncertainty in resolving exact maximum values from available guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 अगस्त को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17 अगस्त को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 34%
33°C 30%
31°C 22%
29°C 8%
नया
नया
17 अग, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
5%
31°C
22%
32°C
34%
33°C
30%
34°C
8%
35°C
4%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 34%
33°C 30%
31°C 22%
29°C 8%
नया
नया
17 अग, 2026
27°C or below
$1 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$1 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C
$42 वॉल्यूम
8%
30°C
$98 वॉल्यूम
5%
31°C
$377 वॉल्यूम
22%
32°C
$112 वॉल्यूम
34%
33°C
$196 वॉल्यूम
30%
34°C
$39 वॉल्यूम
8%
35°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
36°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
4%
37°C or higher
$212 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national Italian services show Milan under a stable high-pressure ridge with southerly flow, favoring peak temperatures near 31–33 °C on August 17. Ensemble spreads produce closely matched market-implied odds because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover, and urban heat-island intensity can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs have held this narrow range steady, with limited synoptic change expected before the event. Traders therefore assign the highest probabilities to the central bins while discounting tails, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the inherent uncertainty in resolving exact maximum values from available guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,097समाप्ति तिथि
17 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national Italian services show Milan under a stable high-pressure ridge with southerly flow, favoring peak temperatures near 31–33 °C on August 17. Ensemble spreads produce closely matched market-implied odds because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover, and urban heat-island intensity can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs have held this narrow range steady, with limited synoptic change expected before the event. Traders therefore assign the highest probabilities to the central bins while discounting tails, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the inherent uncertainty in resolving exact maximum values from available guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,097समाप्ति तिथि
17 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national Italian services show Milan under a stable high-pressure ridge with southerly flow, favoring peak temperatures near 31–33 °C on August 17. Ensemble spreads produce closely matched market-implied odds because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover, and urban heat-island intensity can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs have held this narrow range steady, with limited synoptic change expected before the event. Traders therefore assign the highest probabilities to the central bins while discounting tails, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the inherent uncertainty in resolving exact maximum values from available guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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