Recent model runs from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid's August 16 high will likely peak near 33–35°C amid lingering summer high pressure, though Atlantic moisture and possible late-day showers introduce variability in peak readings. Recent extreme heat, with observed maxima exceeding 37°C earlier in the week, has moderated as a weak front approaches, influencing boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that caps daytime warming. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any instability, keeping 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely contested in trader assessments. Updated guidance on August 15 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
16 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
35°C 43%
34°C 37%
33°C 12%
36°C 8%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
12%
34°C
37%
35°C
43%
36°C
8%
37°C or higher
3%
35°C 43%
34°C 37%
33°C 12%
36°C 8%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
27°C or below
$10 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C
$25 वॉल्यूम
3%
33°C
$81 वॉल्यूम
12%
34°C
$74 वॉल्यूम
37%
35°C
$46 वॉल्यूम
43%
36°C
$53 वॉल्यूम
8%
37°C or higher
$23 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid's August 16 high will likely peak near 33–35°C amid lingering summer high pressure, though Atlantic moisture and possible late-day showers introduce variability in peak readings. Recent extreme heat, with observed maxima exceeding 37°C earlier in the week, has moderated as a weak front approaches, influencing boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that caps daytime warming. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any instability, keeping 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely contested in trader assessments. Updated guidance on August 15 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$352समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid's August 16 high will likely peak near 33–35°C amid lingering summer high pressure, though Atlantic moisture and possible late-day showers introduce variability in peak readings. Recent extreme heat, with observed maxima exceeding 37°C earlier in the week, has moderated as a weak front approaches, influencing boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that caps daytime warming. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any instability, keeping 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely contested in trader assessments. Updated guidance on August 15 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$352समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid's August 16 high will likely peak near 33–35°C amid lingering summer high pressure, though Atlantic moisture and possible late-day showers introduce variability in peak readings. Recent extreme heat, with observed maxima exceeding 37°C earlier in the week, has moderated as a weak front approaches, influencing boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that caps daytime warming. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any instability, keeping 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely contested in trader assessments. Updated guidance on August 15 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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