Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a peak temperature in Milan on August 15 likely between 34–35 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters here because recent model runs show minimal cloud cover or frontal passage, with surface energy balance favoring rapid warming after sunrise; the 1 °C spread largely reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer depth, urban heat-island amplification at the official station, and exact timing of maximum insolation. Higher outcomes above 36 °C would require unexpected downslope warming or model bias, while cooler readings below 33 °C appear unlikely absent an unanticipated marine intrusion. Updated guidance tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow the final range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 अगस्त को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
34°C 48%
35°C 42%
33°C 8%
36°C 6%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
8%
34°C
48%
35°C
42%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 48%
35°C 42%
33°C 8%
36°C 6%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
30°C or below
$215 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$242 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C
$266 वॉल्यूम
2%
33°C
$937 वॉल्यूम
8%
34°C
$672 वॉल्यूम
48%
35°C
$1,268 वॉल्यूम
42%
36°C
$1,128 वॉल्यूम
6%
37°C
$225 वॉल्यूम
1%
38°C
$321 वॉल्यूम
1%
39°C
$327 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40°C or higher
$143 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a peak temperature in Milan on August 15 likely between 34–35 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters here because recent model runs show minimal cloud cover or frontal passage, with surface energy balance favoring rapid warming after sunrise; the 1 °C spread largely reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer depth, urban heat-island amplification at the official station, and exact timing of maximum insolation. Higher outcomes above 36 °C would require unexpected downslope warming or model bias, while cooler readings below 33 °C appear unlikely absent an unanticipated marine intrusion. Updated guidance tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow the final range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,744समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a peak temperature in Milan on August 15 likely between 34–35 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters here because recent model runs show minimal cloud cover or frontal passage, with surface energy balance favoring rapid warming after sunrise; the 1 °C spread largely reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer depth, urban heat-island amplification at the official station, and exact timing of maximum insolation. Higher outcomes above 36 °C would require unexpected downslope warming or model bias, while cooler readings below 33 °C appear unlikely absent an unanticipated marine intrusion. Updated guidance tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow the final range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$5,744समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a peak temperature in Milan on August 15 likely between 34–35 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters here because recent model runs show minimal cloud cover or frontal passage, with surface energy balance favoring rapid warming after sunrise; the 1 °C spread largely reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer depth, urban heat-island amplification at the official station, and exact timing of maximum insolation. Higher outcomes above 36 °C would require unexpected downslope warming or model bias, while cooler readings below 33 °C appear unlikely absent an unanticipated marine intrusion. Updated guidance tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow the final range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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