Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a sunny day across Istanbul with northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a daytime maximum near 26–28°C as the leading outcome. Official guidance and ensemble runs show peak temperatures most likely to reach 26°C at primary stations, consistent with the market’s strong 71.5% implied probability for that level, while slightly lower readings around 25°C remain plausible if marine influences strengthen. Above-normal September warmth relative to the long-term average of roughly 23°C reflects persistent high pressure, but model consensus and early-day observations have narrowed expectations away from 28°C or higher, which carry only marginal odds. Updated short-range guidance expected later today could refine the final peak before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 सितंबर को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 71%
25°C 27%
28°C 2.0%
27°C 1.9%
22°C या उससे कम
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
27%
26°C
71%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
26°C 71%
25°C 27%
28°C 2.0%
27°C 1.9%
22°C या उससे कम
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
27%
26°C
71%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a sunny day across Istanbul with northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a daytime maximum near 26–28°C as the leading outcome. Official guidance and ensemble runs show peak temperatures most likely to reach 26°C at primary stations, consistent with the market’s strong 71.5% implied probability for that level, while slightly lower readings around 25°C remain plausible if marine influences strengthen. Above-normal September warmth relative to the long-term average of roughly 23°C reflects persistent high pressure, but model consensus and early-day observations have narrowed expectations away from 28°C or higher, which carry only marginal odds. Updated short-range guidance expected later today could refine the final peak before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न