Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to northerly winds and increasing cloud cover with showers suppressing daytime highs in Istanbul on September 13, driving the market's emphasis on cooler outcomes. The 44.5% implied probability for 20°C or below, followed by 23°C at 29% and 22°C at 25%, reflects traders' aggregation of these atmospheric conditions—cooler air advection and precipitation reducing peak temperatures below recent 27–29°C readings. Historical September baselines near 23–25°C provide context, but the current setup favors moderation ahead of resolution, with any model shifts on wind or rainfall timing likely to influence near-term odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 सितंबर को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13 सितंबर को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24°C 39%
23°C 39%
21°C 34%
22°C 28%
नया
नया
13 सित, 2026
20°C या उससे नीचे
17%
21°C
34%
22°C
28%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
12%
26°C
6%
27°C
8%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C या अधिक
3%
24°C 39%
23°C 39%
21°C 34%
22°C 28%
नया
नया
13 सित, 2026
20°C या उससे नीचे
$0 वॉल्यूम
17%
21°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
34%
22°C
$48 वॉल्यूम
28%
23°C
$28 वॉल्यूम
39%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
12%
26°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
6%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
8%
28°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
29°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
30°C या अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to northerly winds and increasing cloud cover with showers suppressing daytime highs in Istanbul on September 13, driving the market's emphasis on cooler outcomes. The 44.5% implied probability for 20°C or below, followed by 23°C at 29% and 22°C at 25%, reflects traders' aggregation of these atmospheric conditions—cooler air advection and precipitation reducing peak temperatures below recent 27–29°C readings. Historical September baselines near 23–25°C provide context, but the current setup favors moderation ahead of resolution, with any model shifts on wind or rainfall timing likely to influence near-term odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$76समाप्ति तिथि
13 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to northerly winds and increasing cloud cover with showers suppressing daytime highs in Istanbul on September 13, driving the market's emphasis on cooler outcomes. The 44.5% implied probability for 20°C or below, followed by 23°C at 29% and 22°C at 25%, reflects traders' aggregation of these atmospheric conditions—cooler air advection and precipitation reducing peak temperatures below recent 27–29°C readings. Historical September baselines near 23–25°C provide context, but the current setup favors moderation ahead of resolution, with any model shifts on wind or rainfall timing likely to influence near-term odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$76समाप्ति तिथि
13 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to northerly winds and increasing cloud cover with showers suppressing daytime highs in Istanbul on September 13, driving the market's emphasis on cooler outcomes. The 44.5% implied probability for 20°C or below, followed by 23°C at 29% and 22°C at 25%, reflects traders' aggregation of these atmospheric conditions—cooler air advection and precipitation reducing peak temperatures below recent 27–29°C readings. Historical September baselines near 23–25°C provide context, but the current setup favors moderation ahead of resolution, with any model shifts on wind or rainfall timing likely to influence near-term odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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