Market-implied odds center on 32–33°C as the highest temperature in Manila on September 16, reflecting a monsoon break that has reduced southwest monsoon influence and allowed easterly flow with localized heating potential. Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and 60–80% thunderstorm chances—driven by daytime convection—limit peak insolation and cap extremes, consistent with September climatology of 31°C averages and frequent afternoon rain. Model consensus from GFS and regional guidance shows highs near 30–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any brief clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 33°C before storms develop. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical variability in landfall timing and intensity of convective cells.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 सितंबर को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 सितंबर को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 37%
32°C 31%
29°C 12%
31°C 12%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
7%
31°C
12%
32°C
31%
33°C
37%
34°C
10%
35°C
2%
36°C या उससे अधिक
2%
33°C 37%
32°C 31%
29°C 12%
31°C 12%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
28°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
29°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
12%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
31°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
12%
32°C
$52 वॉल्यूम
31%
33°C
$728 वॉल्यूम
37%
34°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
10%
35°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
36°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds center on 32–33°C as the highest temperature in Manila on September 16, reflecting a monsoon break that has reduced southwest monsoon influence and allowed easterly flow with localized heating potential. Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and 60–80% thunderstorm chances—driven by daytime convection—limit peak insolation and cap extremes, consistent with September climatology of 31°C averages and frequent afternoon rain. Model consensus from GFS and regional guidance shows highs near 30–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any brief clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 33°C before storms develop. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical variability in landfall timing and intensity of convective cells.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$779समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds center on 32–33°C as the highest temperature in Manila on September 16, reflecting a monsoon break that has reduced southwest monsoon influence and allowed easterly flow with localized heating potential. Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and 60–80% thunderstorm chances—driven by daytime convection—limit peak insolation and cap extremes, consistent with September climatology of 31°C averages and frequent afternoon rain. Model consensus from GFS and regional guidance shows highs near 30–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any brief clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 33°C before storms develop. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical variability in landfall timing and intensity of convective cells.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$779समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds center on 32–33°C as the highest temperature in Manila on September 16, reflecting a monsoon break that has reduced southwest monsoon influence and allowed easterly flow with localized heating potential. Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and 60–80% thunderstorm chances—driven by daytime convection—limit peak insolation and cap extremes, consistent with September climatology of 31°C averages and frequent afternoon rain. Model consensus from GFS and regional guidance shows highs near 30–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any brief clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 33°C before storms develop. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical variability in landfall timing and intensity of convective cells.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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