Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather, alongside ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models, point to Milan highs of 32–34°C on August 19 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August in the Po Valley. This drives the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with traders weighing urban heat-island effects at the Malpensa station against light easterly winds and moderate humidity that can nudge readings slightly higher or trigger brief instability lowering peaks. Historical analogs show similar late-summer setups rarely exceeding 34°C without stronger advection, while model spread and potential afternoon cloud build-up keep 34°C at lower implied probability. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify exact maxima.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 अगस्त को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
19 अगस्त को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 37%
33°C 36%
34°C 12%
31°C 12%
नया
नया
19 अग, 2026
30°C or below
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
37%
33°C
36%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
33°C 36%
34°C 12%
31°C 12%
नया
नया
19 अग, 2026
30°C or below
$14 वॉल्यूम
3%
31°C
$41 वॉल्यूम
12%
32°C
$51 वॉल्यूम
37%
33°C
$42 वॉल्यूम
36%
34°C
$11 वॉल्यूम
12%
35°C
$1 वॉल्यूम
3%
36°C
$6 वॉल्यूम
5%
37°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
1%
38°C
$116 वॉल्यूम
<1%
39°C
$286 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40°C or higher
$286 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather, alongside ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models, point to Milan highs of 32–34°C on August 19 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August in the Po Valley. This drives the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with traders weighing urban heat-island effects at the Malpensa station against light easterly winds and moderate humidity that can nudge readings slightly higher or trigger brief instability lowering peaks. Historical analogs show similar late-summer setups rarely exceeding 34°C without stronger advection, while model spread and potential afternoon cloud build-up keep 34°C at lower implied probability. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify exact maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$859समाप्ति तिथि
19 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather, alongside ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models, point to Milan highs of 32–34°C on August 19 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August in the Po Valley. This drives the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with traders weighing urban heat-island effects at the Malpensa station against light easterly winds and moderate humidity that can nudge readings slightly higher or trigger brief instability lowering peaks. Historical analogs show similar late-summer setups rarely exceeding 34°C without stronger advection, while model spread and potential afternoon cloud build-up keep 34°C at lower implied probability. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify exact maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$859समाप्ति तिथि
19 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather, alongside ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models, point to Milan highs of 32–34°C on August 19 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August in the Po Valley. This drives the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with traders weighing urban heat-island effects at the Malpensa station against light easterly winds and moderate humidity that can nudge readings slightly higher or trigger brief instability lowering peaks. Historical analogs show similar late-summer setups rarely exceeding 34°C without stronger advection, while model spread and potential afternoon cloud build-up keep 34°C at lower implied probability. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify exact maxima.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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