Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 23°C in Paris on August 21, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and possible light showers moderating daytime heating. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer values, where average highs fall toward 23–25°C amid weakening high pressure and increased Atlantic influence. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 23°C and 32.5% for 24°C, incorporates this forecast stability alongside typical model spread of 1–2°C. Minor uncertainties stem from exact cloud cover and timing of any showers, which could trim the peak by a degree, while historical analogs show rare excursions above 26°C under similar late-summer patterns. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
23°C 49%
24°C 33%
22°C 9%
25°C 9%
नया
$27,194 वॉल्यूम
नया
$27,194 वॉल्यूम
21 अग, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
49%
24°C
33%
25°C
9%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
24°C 33%
22°C 9%
25°C 9%
नया
$27,194 वॉल्यूम
नया
$27,194 वॉल्यूम
21 अग, 2026
20°C or below
$4,033 वॉल्यूम
1%
21°C
$2,137 वॉल्यूम
2%
22°C
$2,130 वॉल्यूम
9%
23°C
$5,459 वॉल्यूम
49%
24°C
$2,790 वॉल्यूम
33%
25°C
$2,740 वॉल्यूम
9%
26°C
$2,842 वॉल्यूम
2%
27°C
$1,611 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$717 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$1,472 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,263 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 23°C in Paris on August 21, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and possible light showers moderating daytime heating. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer values, where average highs fall toward 23–25°C amid weakening high pressure and increased Atlantic influence. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 23°C and 32.5% for 24°C, incorporates this forecast stability alongside typical model spread of 1–2°C. Minor uncertainties stem from exact cloud cover and timing of any showers, which could trim the peak by a degree, while historical analogs show rare excursions above 26°C under similar late-summer patterns. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,194समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 23°C in Paris on August 21, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and possible light showers moderating daytime heating. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer values, where average highs fall toward 23–25°C amid weakening high pressure and increased Atlantic influence. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 23°C and 32.5% for 24°C, incorporates this forecast stability alongside typical model spread of 1–2°C. Minor uncertainties stem from exact cloud cover and timing of any showers, which could trim the peak by a degree, while historical analogs show rare excursions above 26°C under similar late-summer patterns. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$27,194समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 23°C in Paris on August 21, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and possible light showers moderating daytime heating. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer values, where average highs fall toward 23–25°C amid weakening high pressure and increased Atlantic influence. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 23°C and 32.5% for 24°C, incorporates this forecast stability alongside typical model spread of 1–2°C. Minor uncertainties stem from exact cloud cover and timing of any showers, which could trim the peak by a degree, while historical analogs show rare excursions above 26°C under similar late-summer patterns. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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