Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus from the ECMWF point to a daytime maximum of 21°C in London on August 21, 2026, as the dominant driver behind the market-implied probability of 37% for that outcome. Following the intense heatwave peaking at 38.1°C on August 13, a shift toward unsettled Atlantic airflow and increased cloud cover has cooled conditions, with guidance showing partly cloudy skies and limited daytime heating. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and modest pressure gradients favor the 20–22°C cluster holding over 80% combined implied probability. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21°C 37%
22°C 24%
20°C 21%
23°C 14%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
21%
21°C
37%
22°C
24%
23°C
14%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 37%
22°C 24%
20°C 21%
23°C 14%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
17°C or below
$295 वॉल्यूम
2%
18°C
$67 वॉल्यूम
2%
19°C
$82 वॉल्यूम
9%
20°C
$85 वॉल्यूम
21%
21°C
$271 वॉल्यूम
37%
22°C
$139 वॉल्यूम
24%
23°C
$164 वॉल्यूम
14%
24°C
$64 वॉल्यूम
2%
25°C
$36 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$43 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C or higher
$111 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus from the ECMWF point to a daytime maximum of 21°C in London on August 21, 2026, as the dominant driver behind the market-implied probability of 37% for that outcome. Following the intense heatwave peaking at 38.1°C on August 13, a shift toward unsettled Atlantic airflow and increased cloud cover has cooled conditions, with guidance showing partly cloudy skies and limited daytime heating. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and modest pressure gradients favor the 20–22°C cluster holding over 80% combined implied probability. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,358समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus from the ECMWF point to a daytime maximum of 21°C in London on August 21, 2026, as the dominant driver behind the market-implied probability of 37% for that outcome. Following the intense heatwave peaking at 38.1°C on August 13, a shift toward unsettled Atlantic airflow and increased cloud cover has cooled conditions, with guidance showing partly cloudy skies and limited daytime heating. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and modest pressure gradients favor the 20–22°C cluster holding over 80% combined implied probability. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,358समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus from the ECMWF point to a daytime maximum of 21°C in London on August 21, 2026, as the dominant driver behind the market-implied probability of 37% for that outcome. Following the intense heatwave peaking at 38.1°C on August 13, a shift toward unsettled Atlantic airflow and increased cloud cover has cooled conditions, with guidance showing partly cloudy skies and limited daytime heating. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and modest pressure gradients favor the 20–22°C cluster holding over 80% combined implied probability. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न