**Current forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models positions a peak of 29–30°C as the most probable outcome for Incheon/Seoul on September 4.** Clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge, combined with moderate northeasterly winds of 6–10 m/s, support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture to limit the diurnal rise, while overnight lows near 20–22°C allow full recovery. Model runs show tight agreement on maximum temperatures around 28–30°C, with minor spread reflecting typical boundary-layer uncertainty in light-wind regimes. Historical September climatology for the region centers near 25–28°C, so the current pattern represents modestly above-average warmth persisting into early autumn. Traders have priced 30°C highest at 46% implied probability, followed by 29°C, reflecting this narrow but firm consensus ahead of final KMA updates on the day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 सितंबर को सियोल (इंचियोन) में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 45%
29°C 30%
31°C 11%
28°C 9%
$11,885 वॉल्यूम
$11,885 वॉल्यूम
23°C या नीचे
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
30%
30°C
45%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C या उससे अधिक
1%
30°C 45%
29°C 30%
31°C 11%
28°C 9%
$11,885 वॉल्यूम
$11,885 वॉल्यूम
23°C या नीचे
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
30%
30°C
45%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models positions a peak of 29–30°C as the most probable outcome for Incheon/Seoul on September 4.** Clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge, combined with moderate northeasterly winds of 6–10 m/s, support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture to limit the diurnal rise, while overnight lows near 20–22°C allow full recovery. Model runs show tight agreement on maximum temperatures around 28–30°C, with minor spread reflecting typical boundary-layer uncertainty in light-wind regimes. Historical September climatology for the region centers near 25–28°C, so the current pattern represents modestly above-average warmth persisting into early autumn. Traders have priced 30°C highest at 46% implied probability, followed by 29°C, reflecting this narrow but firm consensus ahead of final KMA updates on the day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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