**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 30°C high on September 3, 2026, aligns with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 26–31°C and real-time observational data showing afternoon maxima near 30–31°C across urban stations.** Early September climatology supports this range, with 1991–2020 normals around 30.8°C amid typical monsoon influence and partly cloudy conditions. Recent model runs and proximity to resolution—combined with consistent northwest winds and limited solar heating from scattered showers—have narrowed uncertainty, as confirmed by HKO district readings peaking near 30–32°C without exceeding the 30°C threshold in the primary reference measurement. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-day clearing or wind reversal allowing greater insolation, though current steering patterns and moisture make this low-probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
3 सितंबर को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$170,105 वॉल्यूम
$170,105 वॉल्यूम
3 सित, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$170,105 वॉल्यूम
$170,105 वॉल्यूम
3 सित, 2026
23°C or below
$2,335 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$2,188 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$2,460 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$3,354 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$3,963 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$12,570 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$50,012 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$32,404 वॉल्यूम
100%
31°C
$28,429 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C
$16,600 वॉल्यूम
<1%
33°C or higher
$15,790 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 30°C high on September 3, 2026, aligns with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 26–31°C and real-time observational data showing afternoon maxima near 30–31°C across urban stations.** Early September climatology supports this range, with 1991–2020 normals around 30.8°C amid typical monsoon influence and partly cloudy conditions. Recent model runs and proximity to resolution—combined with consistent northwest winds and limited solar heating from scattered showers—have narrowed uncertainty, as confirmed by HKO district readings peaking near 30–32°C without exceeding the 30°C threshold in the primary reference measurement. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-day clearing or wind reversal allowing greater insolation, though current steering patterns and moisture make this low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$170,105समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 30°C high on September 3, 2026, aligns with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 26–31°C and real-time observational data showing afternoon maxima near 30–31°C across urban stations.** Early September climatology supports this range, with 1991–2020 normals around 30.8°C amid typical monsoon influence and partly cloudy conditions. Recent model runs and proximity to resolution—combined with consistent northwest winds and limited solar heating from scattered showers—have narrowed uncertainty, as confirmed by HKO district readings peaking near 30–32°C without exceeding the 30°C threshold in the primary reference measurement. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-day clearing or wind reversal allowing greater insolation, though current steering patterns and moisture make this low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$170,105समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 30°C high on September 3, 2026, aligns with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 26–31°C and real-time observational data showing afternoon maxima near 30–31°C across urban stations.** Early September climatology supports this range, with 1991–2020 normals around 30.8°C amid typical monsoon influence and partly cloudy conditions. Recent model runs and proximity to resolution—combined with consistent northwest winds and limited solar heating from scattered showers—have narrowed uncertainty, as confirmed by HKO district readings peaking near 30–32°C without exceeding the 30°C threshold in the primary reference measurement. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-day clearing or wind reversal allowing greater insolation, though current steering patterns and moisture make this low-probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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