Recent forecasts from models including GFS and UKMO indicate a partly to mostly cloudy day with southwesterly flow and light winds, supporting a maximum near 27–28 °C under moderate insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the 37.5 % implied probability for 27 °C versus 31.5 % for 26 °C and 15.5 % for 28 °C captures lingering uncertainty over afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal advection keep temperatures close to seasonal norms without strong warming or cooling signals, while any increase in low-level stratus or earlier wind shift could cap readings at 26 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 12–18 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर को पेरिस में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
26°C 37%
27°C 30%
25°C or below 16%
28°C 10%
25°C or below
16%
26°C
37%
27°C
30%
28°C
10%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
27°C 30%
25°C or below 16%
28°C 10%
25°C or below
16%
26°C
37%
27°C
30%
28°C
10%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and UKMO indicate a partly to mostly cloudy day with southwesterly flow and light winds, supporting a maximum near 27–28 °C under moderate insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the 37.5 % implied probability for 27 °C versus 31.5 % for 26 °C and 15.5 % for 28 °C captures lingering uncertainty over afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal advection keep temperatures close to seasonal norms without strong warming or cooling signals, while any increase in low-level stratus or earlier wind shift could cap readings at 26 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 12–18 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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