**Northwesterly winds and spring warming are positioning 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 2.** Official MetService guidance forecasts a high of 15°C under fine conditions turning to scattered showers, with strong northwesterlies developing that can advect milder air while also enhancing mixing and limiting peak warmth. Complementary model runs from sources such as the UK Met Office align closely at 15°C, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily maxima in Wellington typically range 13–16°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16°C (64.5%) over 15°C (19%), likely incorporating uncertainty around exact station readings, minor forecast revisions, or brief clearer intervals allowing slightly higher values. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by 9 a.m. the following day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16°C 64%
15°C 19%
17°C 17%
18°C 4%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
19%
16°C
64%
17°C
17%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 64%
15°C 19%
17°C 17%
18°C 4%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
19%
16°C
64%
17°C
17%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Northwesterly winds and spring warming are positioning 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 2.** Official MetService guidance forecasts a high of 15°C under fine conditions turning to scattered showers, with strong northwesterlies developing that can advect milder air while also enhancing mixing and limiting peak warmth. Complementary model runs from sources such as the UK Met Office align closely at 15°C, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily maxima in Wellington typically range 13–16°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16°C (64.5%) over 15°C (19%), likely incorporating uncertainty around exact station readings, minor forecast revisions, or brief clearer intervals allowing slightly higher values. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by 9 a.m. the following day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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