Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF, aligned with Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance, positions Moscow's September 4 high near 21°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This reflects typical early-September transition conditions with daytime maxima modestly above the 17°C climatological norm, supported by stable pressure around 1010 hPa and limited moisture. Trader emphasis on the 21°C outcome (54%) and 22°C (32.5%) stems from consistent model runs showing peaks of 20–21°C, with minor upward variance possible if afternoon insolation strengthens. Cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern, though final resolution depends on official observational data. Updated model guidance ahead of the date could refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 सितंबर को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
4 सितंबर को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21°C 54%
22°C 33%
20°C 11%
19°C 3%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
16°C या उससे कम
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
11%
21°C
54%
22°C
33%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C या अधिक
1%
21°C 54%
22°C 33%
20°C 11%
19°C 3%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
16°C या उससे कम
$41 वॉल्यूम
1%
17°C
$40 वॉल्यूम
1%
18°C
$82 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$197 वॉल्यूम
3%
20°C
$108 वॉल्यूम
11%
21°C
$562 वॉल्यूम
54%
22°C
$90 वॉल्यूम
33%
23°C
$340 वॉल्यूम
3%
24°C
$1 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C या अधिक
$41 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF, aligned with Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance, positions Moscow's September 4 high near 21°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This reflects typical early-September transition conditions with daytime maxima modestly above the 17°C climatological norm, supported by stable pressure around 1010 hPa and limited moisture. Trader emphasis on the 21°C outcome (54%) and 22°C (32.5%) stems from consistent model runs showing peaks of 20–21°C, with minor upward variance possible if afternoon insolation strengthens. Cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern, though final resolution depends on official observational data. Updated model guidance ahead of the date could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,531समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF, aligned with Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance, positions Moscow's September 4 high near 21°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This reflects typical early-September transition conditions with daytime maxima modestly above the 17°C climatological norm, supported by stable pressure around 1010 hPa and limited moisture. Trader emphasis on the 21°C outcome (54%) and 22°C (32.5%) stems from consistent model runs showing peaks of 20–21°C, with minor upward variance possible if afternoon insolation strengthens. Cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern, though final resolution depends on official observational data. Updated model guidance ahead of the date could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,531समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF, aligned with Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance, positions Moscow's September 4 high near 21°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This reflects typical early-September transition conditions with daytime maxima modestly above the 17°C climatological norm, supported by stable pressure around 1010 hPa and limited moisture. Trader emphasis on the 21°C outcome (54%) and 22°C (32.5%) stems from consistent model runs showing peaks of 20–21°C, with minor upward variance possible if afternoon insolation strengthens. Cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern, though final resolution depends on official observational data. Updated model guidance ahead of the date could refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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