**Mild high-pressure conditions and light winds are supporting overnight lows in the 17–18°C range for Paris on September 3, aligning with the market’s tightest odds on those outcomes.** Current model guidance (GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs) shows a stable anticyclone with surface pressures near 1022 hPa, light southwesterly to westerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and limited cloud cover overnight. These factors promote moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 27–28°C, but the mild maritime air mass and urban heat island effect in central Paris limit further drops. Recent forecasts cluster the daily minimum around 17–19°C, consistent with the 39% and 32.5% probabilities assigned to 17°C and 18°C. Slight model spread arises mainly from variations in low-level cloud or wind speed: clearer, calmer conditions favor the lower end near 15–16°C (29% and 17.5% odds), while any increase in mixing or residual moisture pushes values toward 18–19°C. Historical September 3 averages (≈13°C low) are well below current guidance because of the warmer synoptic pattern this year. Traders are pricing the narrow scientific uncertainty between these scenarios, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum from official stations. New model updates overnight will provide the next key data point before the market settles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
3 सितंबर को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
17°C 35%
16°C 25%
15°C 22%
18°C 19%
नया
नया
3 सित, 2026
11°C या उससे नीचे
3%
12°C
9%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
22%
16°C
25%
17°C
35%
18°C
19%
19°C
8%
20°C
7%
21°C या अधिक
5%
17°C 35%
16°C 25%
15°C 22%
18°C 19%
नया
नया
3 सित, 2026
11°C या उससे नीचे
$232 वॉल्यूम
3%
12°C
$89 वॉल्यूम
9%
13°C
$36 वॉल्यूम
5%
14°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
5%
15°C
$66 वॉल्यूम
22%
16°C
$1,775 वॉल्यूम
25%
17°C
$287 वॉल्यूम
35%
18°C
$54 वॉल्यूम
19%
19°C
$101 वॉल्यूम
8%
20°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
7%
21°C या अधिक
$5 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild high-pressure conditions and light winds are supporting overnight lows in the 17–18°C range for Paris on September 3, aligning with the market’s tightest odds on those outcomes.**
Current model guidance (GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs) shows a stable anticyclone with surface pressures near 1022 hPa, light southwesterly to westerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and limited cloud cover overnight. These factors promote moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 27–28°C, but the mild maritime air mass and urban heat island effect in central Paris limit further drops. Recent forecasts cluster the daily minimum around 17–19°C, consistent with the 39% and 32.5% probabilities assigned to 17°C and 18°C.
Slight model spread arises mainly from variations in low-level cloud or wind speed: clearer, calmer conditions favor the lower end near 15–16°C (29% and 17.5% odds), while any increase in mixing or residual moisture pushes values toward 18–19°C. Historical September 3 averages (≈13°C low) are well below current guidance because of the warmer synoptic pattern this year. Traders are pricing the narrow scientific uncertainty between these scenarios, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum from official stations. New model updates overnight will provide the next key data point before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,639समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild high-pressure conditions and light winds are supporting overnight lows in the 17–18°C range for Paris on September 3, aligning with the market’s tightest odds on those outcomes.**
Current model guidance (GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs) shows a stable anticyclone with surface pressures near 1022 hPa, light southwesterly to westerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and limited cloud cover overnight. These factors promote moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 27–28°C, but the mild maritime air mass and urban heat island effect in central Paris limit further drops. Recent forecasts cluster the daily minimum around 17–19°C, consistent with the 39% and 32.5% probabilities assigned to 17°C and 18°C.
Slight model spread arises mainly from variations in low-level cloud or wind speed: clearer, calmer conditions favor the lower end near 15–16°C (29% and 17.5% odds), while any increase in mixing or residual moisture pushes values toward 18–19°C. Historical September 3 averages (≈13°C low) are well below current guidance because of the warmer synoptic pattern this year. Traders are pricing the narrow scientific uncertainty between these scenarios, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum from official stations. New model updates overnight will provide the next key data point before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,639समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Mild high-pressure conditions and light winds are supporting overnight lows in the 17–18°C range for Paris on September 3, aligning with the market’s tightest odds on those outcomes.** Current model guidance (GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs) shows a stable anticyclone with surface pressures near 1022 hPa, light southwesterly to westerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and limited cloud cover overnight. These factors promote moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 27–28°C, but the mild maritime air mass and urban heat island effect in central Paris limit further drops. Recent forecasts cluster the daily minimum around 17–19°C, consistent with the 39% and 32.5% probabilities assigned to 17°C and 18°C. Slight model spread arises mainly from variations in low-level cloud or wind speed: clearer, calmer conditions favor the lower end near 15–16°C (29% and 17.5% odds), while any increase in mixing or residual moisture pushes values toward 18–19°C. Historical September 3 averages (≈13°C low) are well below current guidance because of the warmer synoptic pattern this year. Traders are pricing the narrow scientific uncertainty between these scenarios, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum from official stations. New model updates overnight will provide the next key data point before the market settles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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