Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a high of 18–20 °C on 4 September after a cooler, rainy frontal passage on the 3rd that suppressed temperatures to around 16 °C. Clearing skies and persistent southeasterly flow (20–35 km/h with gusts) on the 4th will limit further warming while mixing cooler marine air, keeping maxima near the long-term September average of 18–19 °C at Cape Town International Airport. Trader positioning, with 19 °C and 20 °C together commanding nearly 80 % implied probability, aligns with this narrow post-frontal recovery window and the low likelihood of either stronger subsidence warming or renewed onshore flow. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and international ensembles over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow 18–21 °C range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 सितंबर को केप टाउन में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
4 सितंबर को केप टाउन में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
19 डिग्री सेल्सियस 39%
20°C 31%
21°C 22%
22°C 14%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
13%
19 डिग्री सेल्सियस
39%
20°C
31%
21°C
22%
22°C
14%
23°C
7%
24°C या उससे अधिक
4%
19 डिग्री सेल्सियस 39%
20°C 31%
21°C 22%
22°C 14%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
$20 वॉल्यूम
1%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
16°C
$190 वॉल्यूम
4%
17°C
$37 वॉल्यूम
6%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
13%
19 डिग्री सेल्सियस
$2,614 वॉल्यूम
39%
20°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
31%
21°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
22°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
24°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a high of 18–20 °C on 4 September after a cooler, rainy frontal passage on the 3rd that suppressed temperatures to around 16 °C. Clearing skies and persistent southeasterly flow (20–35 km/h with gusts) on the 4th will limit further warming while mixing cooler marine air, keeping maxima near the long-term September average of 18–19 °C at Cape Town International Airport. Trader positioning, with 19 °C and 20 °C together commanding nearly 80 % implied probability, aligns with this narrow post-frontal recovery window and the low likelihood of either stronger subsidence warming or renewed onshore flow. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and international ensembles over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow 18–21 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,862समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a high of 18–20 °C on 4 September after a cooler, rainy frontal passage on the 3rd that suppressed temperatures to around 16 °C. Clearing skies and persistent southeasterly flow (20–35 km/h with gusts) on the 4th will limit further warming while mixing cooler marine air, keeping maxima near the long-term September average of 18–19 °C at Cape Town International Airport. Trader positioning, with 19 °C and 20 °C together commanding nearly 80 % implied probability, aligns with this narrow post-frontal recovery window and the low likelihood of either stronger subsidence warming or renewed onshore flow. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and international ensembles over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow 18–21 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,862समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a high of 18–20 °C on 4 September after a cooler, rainy frontal passage on the 3rd that suppressed temperatures to around 16 °C. Clearing skies and persistent southeasterly flow (20–35 km/h with gusts) on the 4th will limit further warming while mixing cooler marine air, keeping maxima near the long-term September average of 18–19 °C at Cape Town International Airport. Trader positioning, with 19 °C and 20 °C together commanding nearly 80 % implied probability, aligns with this narrow post-frontal recovery window and the low likelihood of either stronger subsidence warming or renewed onshore flow. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and international ensembles over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow 18–21 °C range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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