**Clear skies and moderate southeast winds are positioning the overnight minimum temperature in Cape Town around 12–13°C on September 4, 2026, driving the dominant 13°C market outcome at 80.5% implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources like the South African Weather Service analogs and global models show radiational cooling under dry, stable high-pressure conditions typical of early spring in the region’s Mediterranean climate, with dew points supporting lows near 11–14°C but unlikely to drop sharply due to the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and persistent SE flow. Recent model runs indicate no incoming cold fronts or anomalous cooling, keeping probabilities for sub-10°C outcomes low despite their listed prices. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily while assigning tail risk to rare clear-night extremes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 सितंबर को केप टाउन में सबसे कम तापमान?
4 सितंबर को केप टाउन में सबसे कम तापमान?
13°C 91%
6°C या उससे कम 89%
7°C 82%
12°C 34%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
6°C या उससे कम
89%
7°C
82%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
33%
12°C
34%
13°C
82%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C या अधिक
<1%
13°C 91%
6°C या उससे कम 89%
7°C 82%
12°C 34%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
6°C या उससे कम
$62 वॉल्यूम
89%
7°C
$62 वॉल्यूम
82%
8°C
$69 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9°C
$161 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$104 वॉल्यूम
1%
11°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
33%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
34%
13°C
$104 वॉल्यूम
82%
14°C
$153 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$184 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C या अधिक
$239 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and moderate southeast winds are positioning the overnight minimum temperature in Cape Town around 12–13°C on September 4, 2026, driving the dominant 13°C market outcome at 80.5% implied probability.**
Official forecasts from sources like the South African Weather Service analogs and global models show radiational cooling under dry, stable high-pressure conditions typical of early spring in the region’s Mediterranean climate, with dew points supporting lows near 11–14°C but unlikely to drop sharply due to the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and persistent SE flow. Recent model runs indicate no incoming cold fronts or anomalous cooling, keeping probabilities for sub-10°C outcomes low despite their listed prices. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily while assigning tail risk to rare clear-night extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,138समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and moderate southeast winds are positioning the overnight minimum temperature in Cape Town around 12–13°C on September 4, 2026, driving the dominant 13°C market outcome at 80.5% implied probability.**
Official forecasts from sources like the South African Weather Service analogs and global models show radiational cooling under dry, stable high-pressure conditions typical of early spring in the region’s Mediterranean climate, with dew points supporting lows near 11–14°C but unlikely to drop sharply due to the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and persistent SE flow. Recent model runs indicate no incoming cold fronts or anomalous cooling, keeping probabilities for sub-10°C outcomes low despite their listed prices. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily while assigning tail risk to rare clear-night extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,138समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and moderate southeast winds are positioning the overnight minimum temperature in Cape Town around 12–13°C on September 4, 2026, driving the dominant 13°C market outcome at 80.5% implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources like the South African Weather Service analogs and global models show radiational cooling under dry, stable high-pressure conditions typical of early spring in the region’s Mediterranean climate, with dew points supporting lows near 11–14°C but unlikely to drop sharply due to the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and persistent SE flow. Recent model runs indicate no incoming cold fronts or anomalous cooling, keeping probabilities for sub-10°C outcomes low despite their listed prices. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily while assigning tail risk to rare clear-night extremes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न