Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City on September 4, 2026, centers on post-frontal clearing after showers on the 3rd, with northwest flow at 5–10 mph and mostly sunny skies supporting highs in the mid-80s. This setup favors 84–85°F as the most probable outcome, consistent with the 42.5% market-implied probability, while 86–87°F reflects residual uncertainty in exact clearing timing or insolation. The climatological average high of 80°F provides context for the above-normal reading driven by warm advection ahead of the front and limited cloud cover. Updated forecast discussions from the NWS New York office and morning model runs will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 सितंबर को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
4 सितंबर को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
84-85°F 43%
86-87°F 29%
82-83°F 16%
88-89°F 9%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
73°F या उससे कम
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
43%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
8%
92°F या अधिक
4%
84-85°F 43%
86-87°F 29%
82-83°F 16%
88-89°F 9%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
73°F या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
74-75°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
76-77°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
8%
78-79°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
80-81°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
82-83°F
$5 वॉल्यूम
16%
84-85°F
$176 वॉल्यूम
43%
86-87°F
$7 वॉल्यूम
29%
88-89°F
$120 वॉल्यूम
9%
90-91°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
8%
92°F या अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City on September 4, 2026, centers on post-frontal clearing after showers on the 3rd, with northwest flow at 5–10 mph and mostly sunny skies supporting highs in the mid-80s. This setup favors 84–85°F as the most probable outcome, consistent with the 42.5% market-implied probability, while 86–87°F reflects residual uncertainty in exact clearing timing or insolation. The climatological average high of 80°F provides context for the above-normal reading driven by warm advection ahead of the front and limited cloud cover. Updated forecast discussions from the NWS New York office and morning model runs will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$308समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City on September 4, 2026, centers on post-frontal clearing after showers on the 3rd, with northwest flow at 5–10 mph and mostly sunny skies supporting highs in the mid-80s. This setup favors 84–85°F as the most probable outcome, consistent with the 42.5% market-implied probability, while 86–87°F reflects residual uncertainty in exact clearing timing or insolation. The climatological average high of 80°F provides context for the above-normal reading driven by warm advection ahead of the front and limited cloud cover. Updated forecast discussions from the NWS New York office and morning model runs will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$308समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City on September 4, 2026, centers on post-frontal clearing after showers on the 3rd, with northwest flow at 5–10 mph and mostly sunny skies supporting highs in the mid-80s. This setup favors 84–85°F as the most probable outcome, consistent with the 42.5% market-implied probability, while 86–87°F reflects residual uncertainty in exact clearing timing or insolation. The climatological average high of 80°F provides context for the above-normal reading driven by warm advection ahead of the front and limited cloud cover. Updated forecast discussions from the NWS New York office and morning model runs will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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