**Forecast models and official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources point to a daily maximum around 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 16 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns with mid-September climatology, where typical highs range 27–29°C amid moderating autumn conditions and regional pressure patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in the 74% implied probability for 28°C, likely incorporates real-time station observations, model consensus on limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover, and the precise resolution criteria for the official maximum temperature reading. Minor upward revisions in some ensemble runs keep 29°C at 12% as a secondary outcome, while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain negligible given current steering flow and humidity levels. Final confirmation will depend on the verified peak from the primary Shanghai observatory before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 सितंबर को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C 75%
29°C 14%
27°C 9%
26°C <1%
$36,763 वॉल्यूम
$36,763 वॉल्यूम
23°C या उससे कम
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
75%
29°C
14%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
28°C 75%
29°C 14%
27°C 9%
26°C <1%
$36,763 वॉल्यूम
$36,763 वॉल्यूम
23°C या उससे कम
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
75%
29°C
14%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources point to a daily maximum around 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 16 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns with mid-September climatology, where typical highs range 27–29°C amid moderating autumn conditions and regional pressure patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in the 74% implied probability for 28°C, likely incorporates real-time station observations, model consensus on limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover, and the precise resolution criteria for the official maximum temperature reading. Minor upward revisions in some ensemble runs keep 29°C at 12% as a secondary outcome, while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain negligible given current steering flow and humidity levels. Final confirmation will depend on the verified peak from the primary Shanghai observatory before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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