Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 29°C in Shanghai on September 21 under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds of 5–9 mph, and humidity around 50–70%, positioning 29°C as the dominant market outcome at 63.5% implied probability. This aligns with current observations of stable atmospheric conditions without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that could push readings to 30°C or above. The 28°C outcome at 23.5% reflects minor downside risks from increased cloud cover or wind shifts, while probabilities for 31°C or higher remain under 1% given the lack of heat-wave indicators. Updated model consensus and any late-day observational adjustments from monitoring agencies will likely determine final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 सितंबर को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 63%
28°C 24%
30°C 9%
27°C 5%
$22,836 वॉल्यूम
$22,836 वॉल्यूम
26°C या उससे कम
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
24%
29°C
63%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
29°C 63%
28°C 24%
30°C 9%
27°C 5%
$22,836 वॉल्यूम
$22,836 वॉल्यूम
26°C या उससे कम
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
24%
29°C
63%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 29°C in Shanghai on September 21 under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds of 5–9 mph, and humidity around 50–70%, positioning 29°C as the dominant market outcome at 63.5% implied probability. This aligns with current observations of stable atmospheric conditions without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that could push readings to 30°C or above. The 28°C outcome at 23.5% reflects minor downside risks from increased cloud cover or wind shifts, while probabilities for 31°C or higher remain under 1% given the lack of heat-wave indicators. Updated model consensus and any late-day observational adjustments from monitoring agencies will likely determine final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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