The official National Weather Service climatological summary for San Francisco International Airport records a maximum of 67°F on September 22, 2026, reached at 1:09 PM under foggy and hazy conditions with onshore southwest winds of 5–15 mph. This reading, 8°F below the 1991–2020 normal of 75°F, aligns precisely with the 66–67°F outcome bin and explains the market’s 100% implied probability, as Polymarket resolves to NOAA’s highest reported temperature at the SFO station. Persistent marine-layer stratus and a strong Pacific high-pressure gradient suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model guidance showing minimal warming potential. Only an undetected sensor error or a shift to an alternate resolution source could realistically alter the outcome, though both remain improbable given the verified data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 सितंबर को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
22 सितंबर को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
66-67°F 100.0%
61°F या उससे कम <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$42,249 वॉल्यूम
$42,249 वॉल्यूम
22 सित, 2026
61°F या उससे कम
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
100%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F या अधिक
<1%
66-67°F 100.0%
61°F या उससे कम <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$42,249 वॉल्यूम
$42,249 वॉल्यूम
22 सित, 2026
61°F या उससे कम
$1,500 वॉल्यूम
<1%
62-63°F
$2,780 वॉल्यूम
<1%
64-65°F
$4,746 वॉल्यूम
<1%
66-67°F
$14,239 वॉल्यूम
100%
68-69°F
$5,246 वॉल्यूम
<1%
70-71°F
$5,089 वॉल्यूम
<1%
72-73°F
$4,665 वॉल्यूम
<1%
74-75°F
$3,050 वॉल्यूम
<1%
76-77°F
$731 वॉल्यूम
<1%
78-79°F
$99 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80°F या अधिक
$105 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The official National Weather Service climatological summary for San Francisco International Airport records a maximum of 67°F on September 22, 2026, reached at 1:09 PM under foggy and hazy conditions with onshore southwest winds of 5–15 mph. This reading, 8°F below the 1991–2020 normal of 75°F, aligns precisely with the 66–67°F outcome bin and explains the market’s 100% implied probability, as Polymarket resolves to NOAA’s highest reported temperature at the SFO station. Persistent marine-layer stratus and a strong Pacific high-pressure gradient suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model guidance showing minimal warming potential. Only an undetected sensor error or a shift to an alternate resolution source could realistically alter the outcome, though both remain improbable given the verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$42,249समाप्ति तिथि
22 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The official National Weather Service climatological summary for San Francisco International Airport records a maximum of 67°F on September 22, 2026, reached at 1:09 PM under foggy and hazy conditions with onshore southwest winds of 5–15 mph. This reading, 8°F below the 1991–2020 normal of 75°F, aligns precisely with the 66–67°F outcome bin and explains the market’s 100% implied probability, as Polymarket resolves to NOAA’s highest reported temperature at the SFO station. Persistent marine-layer stratus and a strong Pacific high-pressure gradient suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model guidance showing minimal warming potential. Only an undetected sensor error or a shift to an alternate resolution source could realistically alter the outcome, though both remain improbable given the verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$42,249समाप्ति तिथि
22 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The official National Weather Service climatological summary for San Francisco International Airport records a maximum of 67°F on September 22, 2026, reached at 1:09 PM under foggy and hazy conditions with onshore southwest winds of 5–15 mph. This reading, 8°F below the 1991–2020 normal of 75°F, aligns precisely with the 66–67°F outcome bin and explains the market’s 100% implied probability, as Polymarket resolves to NOAA’s highest reported temperature at the SFO station. Persistent marine-layer stratus and a strong Pacific high-pressure gradient suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model guidance showing minimal warming potential. Only an undetected sensor error or a shift to an alternate resolution source could realistically alter the outcome, though both remain improbable given the verified data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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