Recent forecast model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 18 will likely fall between 28–30°C due to increased cloud cover, westerly winds around 15–25 km/h, and a 30–90% chance of showers that could suppress daytime maxima through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. These conditions align with historical September climatology near 29°C while introducing uncertainty in the exact hourly peak, which drives the market's tight clustering around 30–31°C as traders weigh model spread and resolution criteria at official stations. Updated runs tomorrow morning will likely refine the implied probabilities further.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 सितंबर को तेल अवीव में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 सितंबर को तेल अवीव में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 56%
30°C 40%
29°C 5%
32°C 3%
नया
$12,236 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,236 वॉल्यूम
18 सित, 2026
27°C या उससे कम
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
40%
31°C
56%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 40%
29°C 5%
32°C 3%
नया
$12,236 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,236 वॉल्यूम
18 सित, 2026
27°C या उससे कम
$31 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$270 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C
$1,522 वॉल्यूम
5%
30°C
$4,050 वॉल्यूम
40%
31°C
$3,277 वॉल्यूम
56%
32°C
$1,330 वॉल्यूम
3%
33°C
$140 वॉल्यूम
1%
34°C
$53 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C
$1,325 वॉल्यूम
<1%
36°C
$119 वॉल्यूम
<1%
37°C या उससे अधिक
$119 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 18 will likely fall between 28–30°C due to increased cloud cover, westerly winds around 15–25 km/h, and a 30–90% chance of showers that could suppress daytime maxima through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. These conditions align with historical September climatology near 29°C while introducing uncertainty in the exact hourly peak, which drives the market's tight clustering around 30–31°C as traders weigh model spread and resolution criteria at official stations. Updated runs tomorrow morning will likely refine the implied probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,236समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 18 will likely fall between 28–30°C due to increased cloud cover, westerly winds around 15–25 km/h, and a 30–90% chance of showers that could suppress daytime maxima through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. These conditions align with historical September climatology near 29°C while introducing uncertainty in the exact hourly peak, which drives the market's tight clustering around 30–31°C as traders weigh model spread and resolution criteria at official stations. Updated runs tomorrow morning will likely refine the implied probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$12,236समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 18 will likely fall between 28–30°C due to increased cloud cover, westerly winds around 15–25 km/h, and a 30–90% chance of showers that could suppress daytime maxima through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. These conditions align with historical September climatology near 29°C while introducing uncertainty in the exact hourly peak, which drives the market's tight clustering around 30–31°C as traders weigh model spread and resolution criteria at official stations. Updated runs tomorrow morning will likely refine the implied probabilities further.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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