Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency points to an incoming mid-latitude frontal system and northeasterly flow that should limit Tokyo’s September 10 maximum to the low-20s Celsius, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and 23°C outcomes. Ensemble means from JMA and ECMWF runs show 850-hPa temperatures several degrees below seasonal norms, with limited diurnal heating under increased cloud cover and possible light rain. Historical analogs for early-September cool outbreaks in the Kanto region align with this pattern, while model spread remains narrow enough to keep higher temperatures below 10% implied probability. Updated model cycles and the next JMA guidance release tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
10 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
22°C 42%
23°C 32%
21°C 13%
24°C 11%
नया
$11,312 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,312 वॉल्यूम
10 सित, 2026
17°C या उससे कम
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
13%
22°C
42%
23°C
32%
24°C
11%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
22°C 42%
23°C 32%
21°C 13%
24°C 11%
नया
$11,312 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,312 वॉल्यूम
10 सित, 2026
17°C या उससे कम
$1,322 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$934 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$231 वॉल्यूम
2%
20°C
$286 वॉल्यूम
3%
21°C
$808 वॉल्यूम
13%
22°C
$2,515 वॉल्यूम
42%
23°C
$1,367 वॉल्यूम
32%
24°C
$1,244 वॉल्यूम
11%
25°C
$795 वॉल्यूम
4%
26°C
$510 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C या उससे अधिक
$1,301 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency points to an incoming mid-latitude frontal system and northeasterly flow that should limit Tokyo’s September 10 maximum to the low-20s Celsius, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and 23°C outcomes. Ensemble means from JMA and ECMWF runs show 850-hPa temperatures several degrees below seasonal norms, with limited diurnal heating under increased cloud cover and possible light rain. Historical analogs for early-September cool outbreaks in the Kanto region align with this pattern, while model spread remains narrow enough to keep higher temperatures below 10% implied probability. Updated model cycles and the next JMA guidance release tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,312समाप्ति तिथि
10 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency points to an incoming mid-latitude frontal system and northeasterly flow that should limit Tokyo’s September 10 maximum to the low-20s Celsius, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and 23°C outcomes. Ensemble means from JMA and ECMWF runs show 850-hPa temperatures several degrees below seasonal norms, with limited diurnal heating under increased cloud cover and possible light rain. Historical analogs for early-September cool outbreaks in the Kanto region align with this pattern, while model spread remains narrow enough to keep higher temperatures below 10% implied probability. Updated model cycles and the next JMA guidance release tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$11,312समाप्ति तिथि
10 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency points to an incoming mid-latitude frontal system and northeasterly flow that should limit Tokyo’s September 10 maximum to the low-20s Celsius, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and 23°C outcomes. Ensemble means from JMA and ECMWF runs show 850-hPa temperatures several degrees below seasonal norms, with limited diurnal heating under increased cloud cover and possible light rain. Historical analogs for early-September cool outbreaks in the Kanto region align with this pattern, while model spread remains narrow enough to keep higher temperatures below 10% implied probability. Updated model cycles and the next JMA guidance release tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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