Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a mostly cloudy to overcast day for Tokyo on September 18, with light northerly winds and scattered drizzle limiting daytime heating. These conditions favor a maximum near 23–25 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on subtle variations in model consensus regarding cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any clearing; stronger onshore flow or thicker stratiform cover would cap readings closer to 23 °C, while modest insolation could push toward 25 °C. September climatology shows average maxima near 26–27 °C, but the current post-frontal pattern and elevated humidity are suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms. Updated JMA guidance and afternoon model runs will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24°C 39%
25°C 29%
23°C 18%
26°C 9%
नया
$11,982 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,982 वॉल्यूम
18 सित, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
18%
24°C
39%
25°C
29%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
24°C 39%
25°C 29%
23°C 18%
26°C 9%
नया
$11,982 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,982 वॉल्यूम
18 सित, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
$1,379 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$392 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$393 वॉल्यूम
2%
22°C
$456 वॉल्यूम
4%
23°C
$2,687 वॉल्यूम
18%
24°C
$1,454 वॉल्यूम
39%
25°C
$2,138 वॉल्यूम
29%
26°C
$1,317 वॉल्यूम
9%
27°C
$397 वॉल्यूम
2%
28°C
$375 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C या उससे अधिक
$995 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a mostly cloudy to overcast day for Tokyo on September 18, with light northerly winds and scattered drizzle limiting daytime heating. These conditions favor a maximum near 23–25 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on subtle variations in model consensus regarding cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any clearing; stronger onshore flow or thicker stratiform cover would cap readings closer to 23 °C, while modest insolation could push toward 25 °C. September climatology shows average maxima near 26–27 °C, but the current post-frontal pattern and elevated humidity are suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms. Updated JMA guidance and afternoon model runs will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,982समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a mostly cloudy to overcast day for Tokyo on September 18, with light northerly winds and scattered drizzle limiting daytime heating. These conditions favor a maximum near 23–25 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on subtle variations in model consensus regarding cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any clearing; stronger onshore flow or thicker stratiform cover would cap readings closer to 23 °C, while modest insolation could push toward 25 °C. September climatology shows average maxima near 26–27 °C, but the current post-frontal pattern and elevated humidity are suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms. Updated JMA guidance and afternoon model runs will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$11,982समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a mostly cloudy to overcast day for Tokyo on September 18, with light northerly winds and scattered drizzle limiting daytime heating. These conditions favor a maximum near 23–25 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on subtle variations in model consensus regarding cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any clearing; stronger onshore flow or thicker stratiform cover would cap readings closer to 23 °C, while modest insolation could push toward 25 °C. September climatology shows average maxima near 26–27 °C, but the current post-frontal pattern and elevated humidity are suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms. Updated JMA guidance and afternoon model runs will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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