**Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies position 26–27°C as the most probable range for Warsaw’s daily maximum on August 30, 2026.** High-pressure influence has strengthened over central Europe, promoting clearer skies, light southerly or southwesterly winds, and modest warm-air advection that supports daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to limit temperatures. Numerical guidance, including GFS and ECMWF-derived outputs, consistently shows afternoon peaks near 26–27°C (roughly 79°F) under partly cloudy conditions with low rain probability. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 27°C (50%) and 26°C (29%), while the 18% on 28°C reflects minor upside potential from slightly stronger insolation or model spread. Historical August averages for Warsaw (around 21–25°C) place the current setup modestly above normal but within the typical late-summer envelope. Key near-term variables include the exact timing and extent of any residual cloudiness on the 29th–30th transition and the strength of the surface high; updated model runs closer to the date will narrow this range further. Trader consensus thus reflects the current model agreement around 26–27°C while leaving modest room for small forecast adjustments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 51%
26°C 29%
28°C 18%
25°C 5%
नया
नया
30 अग, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
29%
27°C
51%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
26°C 29%
28°C 18%
25°C 5%
नया
नया
30 अग, 2026
21°C or below
$251 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$65 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
25°C
$65 वॉल्यूम
5%
26°C
$292 वॉल्यूम
29%
27°C
$237 वॉल्यूम
51%
28°C
$203 वॉल्यूम
18%
29°C
$105 वॉल्यूम
3%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
31°C or higher
$263 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies position 26–27°C as the most probable range for Warsaw’s daily maximum on August 30, 2026.** High-pressure influence has strengthened over central Europe, promoting clearer skies, light southerly or southwesterly winds, and modest warm-air advection that supports daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to limit temperatures.
Numerical guidance, including GFS and ECMWF-derived outputs, consistently shows afternoon peaks near 26–27°C (roughly 79°F) under partly cloudy conditions with low rain probability. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 27°C (50%) and 26°C (29%), while the 18% on 28°C reflects minor upside potential from slightly stronger insolation or model spread. Historical August averages for Warsaw (around 21–25°C) place the current setup modestly above normal but within the typical late-summer envelope.
Key near-term variables include the exact timing and extent of any residual cloudiness on the 29th–30th transition and the strength of the surface high; updated model runs closer to the date will narrow this range further. Trader consensus thus reflects the current model agreement around 26–27°C while leaving modest room for small forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,481समाप्ति तिथि
30 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies position 26–27°C as the most probable range for Warsaw’s daily maximum on August 30, 2026.** High-pressure influence has strengthened over central Europe, promoting clearer skies, light southerly or southwesterly winds, and modest warm-air advection that supports daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to limit temperatures.
Numerical guidance, including GFS and ECMWF-derived outputs, consistently shows afternoon peaks near 26–27°C (roughly 79°F) under partly cloudy conditions with low rain probability. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 27°C (50%) and 26°C (29%), while the 18% on 28°C reflects minor upside potential from slightly stronger insolation or model spread. Historical August averages for Warsaw (around 21–25°C) place the current setup modestly above normal but within the typical late-summer envelope.
Key near-term variables include the exact timing and extent of any residual cloudiness on the 29th–30th transition and the strength of the surface high; updated model runs closer to the date will narrow this range further. Trader consensus thus reflects the current model agreement around 26–27°C while leaving modest room for small forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,481समाप्ति तिथि
30 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies position 26–27°C as the most probable range for Warsaw’s daily maximum on August 30, 2026.** High-pressure influence has strengthened over central Europe, promoting clearer skies, light southerly or southwesterly winds, and modest warm-air advection that supports daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to limit temperatures. Numerical guidance, including GFS and ECMWF-derived outputs, consistently shows afternoon peaks near 26–27°C (roughly 79°F) under partly cloudy conditions with low rain probability. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 27°C (50%) and 26°C (29%), while the 18% on 28°C reflects minor upside potential from slightly stronger insolation or model spread. Historical August averages for Warsaw (around 21–25°C) place the current setup modestly above normal but within the typical late-summer envelope. Key near-term variables include the exact timing and extent of any residual cloudiness on the 29th–30th transition and the strength of the surface high; updated model runs closer to the date will narrow this range further. Trader consensus thus reflects the current model agreement around 26–27°C while leaving modest room for small forecast adjustments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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