**Recent meteorological model consensus and observational data position 26°C as the leading market outcome for Istanbul's August 30 high, with 27°C as a close secondary possibility.** Official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a daytime peak of 26–28°C under northerly flow, scattered showers, and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. These conditions align with temperatures running 4–6°C below seasonal August averages following a recent frontal passage. Hourly trends show morning readings near 21–23°C rising to afternoon maxima around 26–27°C before cooling, with light-to-moderate northerly winds further moderating the peak. Market-implied probabilities reflect trader weighting of the latest model runs and real-time observations favoring the lower end of the forecast envelope, while the small probabilities for 28°C+ account for residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized clearing. Updated guidance through the day will determine final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 65%
27°C 31%
25°C 5%
28°C 3%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
65%
27°C
31%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 65%
27°C 31%
25°C 5%
28°C 3%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
65%
27°C
31%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Recent meteorological model consensus and observational data position 26°C as the leading market outcome for Istanbul's August 30 high, with 27°C as a close secondary possibility.** Official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a daytime peak of 26–28°C under northerly flow, scattered showers, and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. These conditions align with temperatures running 4–6°C below seasonal August averages following a recent frontal passage. Hourly trends show morning readings near 21–23°C rising to afternoon maxima around 26–27°C before cooling, with light-to-moderate northerly winds further moderating the peak. Market-implied probabilities reflect trader weighting of the latest model runs and real-time observations favoring the lower end of the forecast envelope, while the small probabilities for 28°C+ account for residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized clearing. Updated guidance through the day will determine final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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